TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,427 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over58c95,551$55,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,605.093342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c33,192$14,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,230.664,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over59c28,275$16,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,727.492065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e8b…11cabacked Over57c11,454$6,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,513.381050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c8,133$3,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,551.911,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c8,046$3,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,626.61,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under41c6,276$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,702.632040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c5,828$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,167.933,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under40c5,451$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,243.526944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c4,851$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.8583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Under42c4,590$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under39c4,564$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.348756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under43c4,539$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.081656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,32015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under41c3,947$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.596746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under54c3,726$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.696858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under42c3,706$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.481172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over50c3,590$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.915143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under42c3,100$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8005253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2148…ae1dbacked Under42c3,009$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over36c2,958$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.995330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over36c2,954$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.5812650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Over7c2,618$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.236235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under42c2,583$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.3122455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under41c2,338$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.777954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Over4c2,279$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3911159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed Over57c2,245$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.851154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under42c2,185$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.3323456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Over53c2,103$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.324676.1%35 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+63.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over58c2,100$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.4411444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Under42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.966546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under42c1,710$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.4822758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under41c1,658$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.1920159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over50c1,573$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.9183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b6…c324backed Under41c1,428$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Under41c1,372$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over24c1,339$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.426879.4%54 W · 14 L+14.7wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under42c1,315$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.646982.6%57 W · 12 L+15.0wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+37%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under42c1,313$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.283351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under78c1,281$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.561,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15533.8%2 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under42c1,151$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.686373%46 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under43c1,128$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.374254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under43c1,120$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.8420360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under44c1,118$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.6319260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over22c1,083$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3544424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under42c1,083$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.111942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under41c1,080$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.7916660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under42c1,061$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.073865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c965.09$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.441,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…a2d6backed Over5c943$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.151580%12 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+108.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.66848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under42c853.93$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.2812964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Under16c838.5$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.722218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+82%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c826.53$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.672,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under42c819.68$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.533979.5%31 W · 8 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over40c816.73$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2349057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over60c813.33$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48813054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Under47c805.8$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over59c788.02$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.6564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under42c761.87$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.885959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under40c750$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.510168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over60c750$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Under41c746$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+73.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under43c700.68$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.8989050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under40c700$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under41c672.65$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.8732645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over49c661.84$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.37440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e1…8b57backed Under42c660$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under43c607.51$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.6835759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under41c584.55$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.883342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under43c583.84$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.4228357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under42c579.12$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.8912954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under43c560.01$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.542259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under44c556.58$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.0717659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Under71c553.88$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Under50c535.3$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.36946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over60c517.28$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.3713263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over61c498.31$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9714250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under43c491.6$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.63545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Under41c470.54$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under41c470.54$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.626657.6%38 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Under78c470.21$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.452755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under41c467.81$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.865156.9%29 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under41c466.81$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.421,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under17c449.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.52020%4 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+216.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Over49c446.09$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.464440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under43c444.2$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7210464.4%67 W · 37 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under43c442.39$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.555662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over57c442.33$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1311741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under44c439.27$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.994062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under42c420$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.62263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under42c420$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.62268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under43c404.74$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9211266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over38c399.96$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.989641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under18c390.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.73248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Under44c386.56$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.471850%9 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under42c370$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.64755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.