La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaedec16bea51d7c0ab5d685f8fd4dcc8535143b0dd68fb4b3c8298cbd63c538
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 7,137$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.9 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 3,150$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.38 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 17c | 2,090$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.57 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Over | 57c | 857.88$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.85 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 19c | 692.43$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 626.11$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.04 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 526.94$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.16 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…6c91backed Under | 36c | 519.49$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +202.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 438.9$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 18c | 324.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 308.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 50c | 240.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 78c | 213.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…37e4backed Over | 58c | 197.54$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under | 17c | 194.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 190.37$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 38c | 189.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 14c | 116.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…2580backed Over | 73c | 105.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Under | 20c | 86.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 86.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 66c | 69.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 64c | 64.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 19c | 64.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 78c | 61.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 50c | 58.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 59c | 57.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 32c | 57.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 53.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Over | 72c | 46.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 51c | 39.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 56c | 34.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 55c | 26.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 49c | 24.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 74c | 19.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 77c | 14.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.