La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9dd551b874ebb9cab19df7b40f27c2e96ba111b5653d930dc9ce7907bf53f5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Sociedad de Fútbolof Real Sociedad de Fútbol, Levante UD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 35c | 2,839$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.13 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Levante UD | 65c | 1,871$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.3 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Levante UD | 61c | 1,826$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.87 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Levante UD | 64c | 1,573$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.02 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 36c | 1,470$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.61 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa327…121cbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 37c | 1,443$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Levante UD | 65c | 753.08$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.5 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…6f50backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 28c | 684.17$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 36c | 679.02$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.58 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 59c | 646.39$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.45 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 44c | 643.24$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.88 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Levante UD | 64c | 543.01$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.52 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Levante UD | 64c | 317.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Levante UD | 64c | 290.83$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Levante UD | 64c | 288.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 36c | 288.48$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.63 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Levante UD | 64c | 283.95$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.74 | 69 | 82.6%57 W · 12 L | +15.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Levante UD | 64c | 238.26$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 36c | 197.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 31c | 170.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 30c | 164.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 36c | 152.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Levante UD | 62c | 124.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 51c | 115.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 48c | 109.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 48c | 100.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Levante UD | 64c | 100.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 73c | 90.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…aa10backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 36c | 80.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Levante UD | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Levante UD | 56c | 67.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 37c | 67.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Levante UD | 64c | 63.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 60c | 62.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Levante UD | 63c | 62.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Levante UD | 65c | 61.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Levante UD | 56c | 61.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Levante UD | 56c | 54.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Levante UD | 56c | 54.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Levante UD | 56c | 54.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Levante UD | 65c | 43.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Levante UD | 56c | 41.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 44c | 41.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 41c | 40.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38c | 30.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 65c | 30.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Levante UD | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Levante UD | 40c | 27.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Levante UD | 56c | 27.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Levante UD | 53c | 26.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 65c | 23.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…5a93backed Levante UD | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.