La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16885f9e8de5437118bfb59cb2a5c064995646d4b0e16f56f1a482558e8ec4a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 737.48$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.18 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 690.33$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 43c | 439.75$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.66 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 367.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 290.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.94 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 225$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…37f8backed Yes | 55c | 214.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Yes | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…d58fbacked No | 48c | 202.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 59c | 199.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 53c | 183.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Yes | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…84c1backed Yes | 57c | 142.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked No | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 38c | 76.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…f519backed Yes | 56c | 71.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 63.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 59c | 62.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed No | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 50c | 52.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 56c | 52.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 48c | 49.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 47c | 48.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 46.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 54c | 44.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked No | 43c | 23.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 45c | 23.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 67c | 19.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.