La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2e56b996c6947bd6206669dd80cf6d2d811c78d63c205784cce46dcec421fe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.94 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 36c | 4,598$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.19 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 37c | 4,175$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.85 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 3,708$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 2,971$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.7 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Under | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 1,935$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.44 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 65c | 1,130$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.37 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 20c | 965.87$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Over | 38c | 808.5$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.19 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Over | 38c | 808.5$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.19 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Over | 39c | 770.24$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.61 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 768.86$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.45 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 38c | 760.11$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 37c | 738.48$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.24 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 68c | 721.18$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.78 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Over | 38c | 712.25$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.09 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 36c | 710.78$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.91 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 38c | 662.65$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 37c | 648.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.56 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 77c | 640.39$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 31c | 618.45$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 11c | 545.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 63c | 544.57$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.49 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 39c | 495.36$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 25c | 420.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 37c | 384.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.66 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed Under | 66c | 371.69$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 60c | 307.24$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…2580backed Over | 13c | 306.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 61c | 301.23$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under | 63c | 283$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 37c | 242.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 34c | 217.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 37c | 216.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 37c | 216.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 37c | 216.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 73c | 212.7$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 202$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 61c | 196.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 68c | 148.56$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…ffdebacked Over | 35c | 135.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed Over | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 65c | 89.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 36c | 73.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Over | 19c | 64.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Under | 74c | 64.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 65c | 63.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…e1f5backed Under | 65c | 57.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 70c | 48.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Over | 38c | 48.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 63c | 39.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 37c | 31.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Over | 38c | 31.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 37c | 30.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Under | 73c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 67c | 27.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 64c | 21.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Under | 64c | 19.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 63c | 19.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 63c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 193 | 58.5%113 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d92…616ebacked Under | 76c | 13.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.