Bundesliga · resolved market

Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x163d9d7942c533730d1458bb78b341a02d03e2d0a1908efa3746c5b2777e9eb7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $117,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $116,583

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,417 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0792…b778backed Over	55c	46,216$25,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,411.73	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	45c	29,417$13,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,190.21	64	65.6%42 W · 22 L	+8.0wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c44…5eefbacked Over	0c	20,681$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.68	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	46c	10,453$4,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,619.43	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	45c	7,508$3,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,107.33	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over	55c	7,325$4,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,022.03	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over	54c	7,039$3,801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,801.05	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	46c	5,761$2,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,085.46	1,355	50.9%690 W · 665 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under	45c	5,000$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,749.99	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	49c	4,364$2,139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,224.3	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over	42c	4,219$1,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,790.61	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	52c	3,227$1,692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,534.55	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	54c	2,917$1,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575.29	100	41%41 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over	35c	2,014$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.44	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	52c	1,291$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.88	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	45c	1,222$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.42	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	45c	1,089$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.95	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	45c	1,050$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.56	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	48c	1,009$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.87	79	67.1%53 W · 26 L	+7.4wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over	70c	982$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.4	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over	54c	904.02$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.13	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-5.3wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	39c	805.76$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	491	43.2%212 W · 279 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	45c	500$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	496	47.4%235 W · 261 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over	53c	475.99$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.27	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	46c	453.38$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.09	420	46.4%195 W · 225 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Over	55c	442.27$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.25	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over	45c	427.32$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.29	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	43c	423.64$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.77	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+13.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7f…657ebacked Under	46c	420.68$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under	46c	420$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.8	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under	46c	420$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.8	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65be…5546backed Over	55c	400$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	53c	380.31$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.98	177	49.7%88 W · 89 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under	45c	379.13$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.8	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	45c	375$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.25	481	46.4%223 W · 258 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under	46c	370$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.8	28	50%14 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under	47c	300$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	59	74.6%44 W · 15 L	+6.1wins	+0.10per pick	64cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	44c	299.99$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.99	206	45.6%94 W · 112 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	45c	250$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.5	58	70.7%41 W · 17 L	+10.4wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	45c	250$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.5	636	45.1%287 W · 349 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over	54c	225.09$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.55	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	56c	217.32$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.7	189	58.2%110 W · 79 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	45c	209.85$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.42	550	58.7%323 W · 227 L	+23.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	39c	200.25$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.1	124	60.5%75 W · 49 L	+19.9wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c6…3c48backed Over	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under	45c	186.31$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.47	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	54c	180.07$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.24	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed Over	56c	173.86$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.36	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	70cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over	57c	172.1$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.02	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	41c	170.32$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.06	164	64%105 W · 59 L	+28.5wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+49.2%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	46c	169.59$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.43	330	47.3%156 W · 174 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	59c	157.23$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.03	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under	59c	157.23$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.03	110	49.1%54 W · 56 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	36c	155.09$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.77	142	60.6%86 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over	52c	150$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Under	45c	145.91$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.25	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over	72c	137.11$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.3	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under	47c	132.41$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.76	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	48c	110.91$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.37	207	53.6%111 W · 96 L	+22.3wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under	47c	103$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.59	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	44c	98.22$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.01	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6579…b817backed Over	65c	97.89$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	47c	96.82$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.51	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Over	43c	96.58$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.53	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4c…5c55backed Over	55c	96.18$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4884…f519backed Over	43c	93.35$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.14	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under	42c	93.03$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.96	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under	42c	93.03$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.96	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over	53c	91.68$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.59	221	57%126 W · 95 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over	54c	90.04$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.62	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over	56c	86.93$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.68	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over	44c	86.53$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.07	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under	44c	84.98$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.59	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under	45c	84.63$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.73	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under	45c	84.01$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.06	210	51.4%108 W · 102 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	63c	83.17$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.75	205	48.3%99 W · 106 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e51…c2e4backed Under	32c	81.29$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.28	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over	45c	80$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	110	60%66 W · 44 L	+13.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e3c…37e4backed Over	30c	78.17$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.33	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over	54c	78.07$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.16	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under	48c	75.78$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.58	49	71.4%35 W · 14 L	+7.3wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under	45c	75.08$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.29	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	47c	74.06$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.25	185	54.1%100 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under	47c	74.06$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.25	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	47c	74.06$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.25	111	48.6%54 W · 57 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Under	45c	71.79$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e59…cc2ebacked Over	55c	70.76$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.92	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-3.1wins	-0.28per pick	56cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	69c	70.17$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.03	1,013	44.5%451 W · 562 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd86…b634backed Over	55c	69.45$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18f…c57abacked Over	55c	65.97$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Under	46c	64.86$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.02	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Over	55c	61.92$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over	58c	61.26$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.53	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	46c	61$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.94	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Under	64c	60.98$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.95	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under	31c	59.15$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.81	65	32.3%21 W · 44 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3c…759bbacked Over	54c	56.2$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over	53c	55.01$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.15	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Under	46c	52.25$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.22	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+3.8wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5this page
Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5Under won
Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
Spread: FC Augsburg (-2.5)Hamburger SV won
Spread: Hamburger SV (-2.5)FC Augsburg won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event