TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,290
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,290 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c75…b299backed Over54c8,008$4,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,680.42944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c5,194$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.341,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c3,984$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.2224349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under57c3,060$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.691764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Under48c1,676$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c1,582$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.866952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72026660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c1,303$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.9887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c923.26$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.479458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c909.99$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.698143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over47c789.98$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over53c506$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8210942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under49c501.91$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.228058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Under48c491.85$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over52c448.25$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.168654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c418.98$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.341,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under49c402.35$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.695763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c375$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under45c366.31$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.842832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c354.42$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65be…5546backed Over53c335.01$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c299.92$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9630448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed Under47c290.46$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x666b…d240backed Under47c290.46$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.521163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over73c269.53$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.774864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over38c240.76$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.311136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under49c235.47$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.385251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under47c210.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9133148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe689…b81abacked Over53c203.42$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9824051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over40c199.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.996530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over52c199.69$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.559960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over52c199.69$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.553458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under56c197.31$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1435650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed Under47c193.64$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.011050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed Under47c193.64$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.011050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over52c186.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.456360.3%38 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under46c176.44$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.161442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c175$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6323342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c175$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6326041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over74c158.71$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5924052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over53c141.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.514555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under47c129.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.081127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over44c96.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1222340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0910964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Under50c75.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Over52c74.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over53c73.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.47988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under49c72.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.421127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed Under48c70.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.891040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over44c65.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.96245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.493046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over68c59.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.83922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick62cpaid-68%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under53c54.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0214544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under47c54.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.591346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under47c54.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.481330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8511044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over57c52.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.284060%24 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under47c51.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.310248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under59c46.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Under67c46.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over49c45.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2459348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under46c40.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.853145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over73c40.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.069863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Under48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…8617backed Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.243040%12 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.244254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.573542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.574557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.579657.3%55 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…9bf4backed Over52c35.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x806b…cccabacked Under49c35.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over53c34.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.449355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over58c34.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4522854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under42c33.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.953354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over52c32.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.446352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under48c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.532326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under48c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.532835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over53c29.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.915100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under47c29.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.681435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under47c29.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.653339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over53c27.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.932445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over53c27.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.823360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Over52c26.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Under58c25.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.623444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over54c24.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.186446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over46c23.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.661464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over49c21.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.731464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+42.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Over53c20.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Over53c20.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over53c20.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under52c20.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6836…f8e1backed Over53c20.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d1…4cb7backed Over53c19.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.13825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.