Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bbb43fd665f890441c9ae89c1874219d8b8e658247c91aa291ad4f62d1ba84b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 80c | 1,233$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 1,093$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.29 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,023$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.78 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 32c | 989.18$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.54 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 373.06$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.95 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 36c | 308.44$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 78c | 292.77$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 68c | 278.73$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…37e4backed Over | 32c | 269.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 256.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 199.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 73c | 196.22$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 27c | 142.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 62c | 103.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 30c | 81.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 42c | 72.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 54c | 67.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 62cpaid | -68%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 31c | 64.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 69c | 63.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 43c | 47.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…257cbacked Under | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 61c | 24.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 68c | 21.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Lille OSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.