Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eaca712c596defd3793cf810b49a345429eb7f936762f7887066ff6163c4808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 4,979$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.54 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Over | 71c | 3,275$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.84 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 54c | 2,521$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.68 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 987.88$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.57 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 31c | 613.6$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.81 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 29c | 584.48$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 78c | 506.05$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 450.1$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 429.27$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 403.61$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 274.51$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 78c | 189.77$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 22c | 129.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Over | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 63c | 116.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 71c | 107.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 66c | 94.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed Over | 67c | 69.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 38c | 60.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 24c | 59.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899f…3e95backed Under | 34c | 56.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 67c | 55.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 30c | 51.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 79c | 49.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 41c | 44.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 41c | 44.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 74c | 43.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 30c | 35.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 40c | 30.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 74c | 28.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…0937backed Over | 73c | 25.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ebeebacked Over | 71c | 23.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 64c | 21.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Over | 71c | 19.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 71c | 15.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Lille OSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.