Bundesliga · resolved market

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x158d71a3466b2d0d3bcf01e773377e3dbea6a2d93d9a6cc783605707a212497a

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,003

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,170 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	41c	3,475$1,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,436.51	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over	61c	2,300$1,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900.65	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over	58c	1,735$1,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.76	67	62.7%42 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	28c	1,505$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.81	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	42c	1,426$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.06	166	52.4%87 W · 79 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	77c	1,319$1,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.44	137	54%74 W · 63 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under	1c	1,200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	47	2.1%1 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over	61c	1,200$732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468	50	68%34 W · 16 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Over	57c	1,041$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.84	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under	1c	950$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	58c	756.31$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.65	187	59.4%111 W · 76 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	44c	632.2$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.61	1,355	50.9%690 W · 665 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65be…5546backed Over	58c	548.53$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e2…d13abacked Over	79c	533.56$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.05	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	58cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	25c	518.77$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.24	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	58c	504.21$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.77	189	58.2%110 W · 79 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	62c	488.6$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.67	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+7.0wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+31%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	39c	434.54$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.06	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under	43c	426.75$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.5	380	55.8%212 W · 168 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over	58c	412.41$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.21	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	58c	410.26$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.27	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	42c	400$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under	42c	377.15$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.73	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	41c	364.16$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.98	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	38c	362.04$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.3	481	46.4%223 W · 258 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	40c	350$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	420	46.4%195 W · 225 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	40c	347.67$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.07	330	47.3%156 W · 174 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	39c	346.58$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.03	636	45.1%287 W · 349 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under	21c	339$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.88	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	42c	339$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.38	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under	40c	320.02$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.01	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	58c	299.96$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.98	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under	4c	295.82$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over	58c	292.44$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.82	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under	38c	286.87$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.01	28	50%14 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over	61c	276$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.64	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over	73c	269.53$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.77	53	64.2%34 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under	48c	239.39$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.91	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.9wins	+0.18per pick	38cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Under	44c	223$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.12	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+3.6wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over	56c	217.32$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.62	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	16c	207.76$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.8	128	32%41 W · 87 L	-9.8wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over	48c	201.83$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.95	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	37c	200$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.5	206	45.6%94 W · 112 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over	57c	200$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	115	43.5%50 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c6…3c48backed Over	77c	200$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3c…37e4backed Over	61c	200$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	45c	199.98$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.52	782	48.8%382 W · 400 L	-28.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under	42c	198.51$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.37	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	41c	195.81$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.28	152	44.1%67 W · 85 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	40c	190$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.79	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under	40c	185.81$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.84	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	40c	180.21$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.58	177	49.7%88 W · 89 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over	59c	164.41$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.85	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	40c	160$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	111	48.6%54 W · 57 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under	40c	160$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	110	49.1%54 W · 56 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under	40c	160$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	37c	121.5$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.51	496	47.4%235 W · 261 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	35c	109.04$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.36	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over	59c	89.07$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.48	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over	56c	86.93$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.25	221	57%126 W · 95 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under	42c	80.51$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.81	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over	65c	75.31$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.36	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b5d…adc4backed Under	20c	73.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.97	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+32%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7f…657ebacked Under	25c	70.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.49	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be9…368dbacked Under	41c	62.49$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.62	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over	63c	62.08$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.97	130	66.9%87 W · 43 L	+8.8wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over	54c	54.01$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.84	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	58c	49.71$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.88	207	53.6%111 W · 96 L	+22.3wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over	79c	45.11$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.47	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+3.2wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Over	58c	42.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.77	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	49c	39.57$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.18	118	57.6%68 W · 50 L	+15.7wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over	61c	39.06$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.23	53	64.2%34 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	37c	38.81$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	1,013	44.5%451 W · 562 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7f…9da6backed Under	38c	37.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.32	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over	58c	36.98$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.53	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Over	49c	35.91$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.42	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over	61c	32.02$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.49	88	63.6%56 W · 32 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over	63c	31.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.49	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over	60c	29.28$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.71	128	43%55 W · 73 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under	42c	25.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under	42c	25.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	49	71.4%35 W · 14 L	+7.3wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under	42c	25.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Under	42c	25.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Under	42c	25.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Under	42c	25.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Under	42c	25.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	63cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under	42c	25.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under	42c	25.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+42.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Under	42c	25.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+100.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…353dbacked Over	63c	24.83$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.19	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over	60c	24.4$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.76	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over	65c	22.66$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.98	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12dc…1100backed Over	63c	20.18$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.47	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over	62c	19.79$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.52	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over	67c	15.34$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.06	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Under won
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event