Mls · resolved market
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02a86897c48e95b2f1b62f7c86d276f55f698e999c3d0d2da60ae6445d3af90c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 48c | 1,930$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.45 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 26c | 1,377$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 48c | 1,260$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 822.01$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.3 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 37c | 709.18$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.38 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Under | 79c | 623.24$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 46c | 546.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 471.17$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 459.91$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 45c | 457.42$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.23 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 37c | 449.45$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.73 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 69c | 437.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 400.41$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.59 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 303.52$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 64c | 300$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 37c | 248.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 37c | 243.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 37c | 228.64$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 207.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.69 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 75c | 171$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 37c | 131.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 37c | 121.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 24c | 109$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 44c | 99.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked Under | 71c | 98.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 80.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 63c | 57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +83%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 63c | 55.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 70c | 55.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…5546backed Over | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 61c | 54.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 48c | 51.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 51c | 38.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 64c | 35.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 62c | 33.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Over | 64c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Over | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 55c | 28.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Over | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 53c | 25.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 50c | 25.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 64c | 19.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 62c | 17.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5this page
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.