TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Atlanta United FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,749 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under46c214,999$98,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,894.571070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+56.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Over54c131,619$71,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,544.764062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over54c19,900$10,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,1546939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over54c18,609$10,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,560.1423858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over54c5,929$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,727.473046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3437…b330backed Over54c5,859$3,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+99%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c4,828$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.523,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Over54c4,630$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.63580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+63.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over54c4,444$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.4419044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Over54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8401258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under3c3,788$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.343923.1%9 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under1c3,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1534…9086backed Under1c3,402$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.02425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-29.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c3,009$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.1597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Under3c1,667$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over54c1,484$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.618563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over54c1,379$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.433863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over50c1,357$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.8937138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under9c1,260$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.450%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb8…0723backed Under1c1,122$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c950$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Over54c774.89$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.451241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over31c747.86$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.8639567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over54c593.52$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.0210655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over22c591.39$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.8516453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9303…0bc7backed Over55c590.02$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.65333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under34c546.98$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.424837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over67c494.81$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over52c470.26$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.723243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Over54c357.25$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.332450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over54c349$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.544228.6%12 W · 30 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over54c337$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0220648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8289…0bf5backed Under46c320$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over69c308.93$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.559965.7%65 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over54c287.73$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4558043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c276.41$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8677751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over54c250.54$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2542947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over24c241.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8491553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over54c233.1$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.229458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over54c226.92$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.393351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.227542.7%32 W · 43 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over57c219.51$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5110562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e3c…37e4backed Over54c203.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over56c199.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.997668.4%52 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…3efbbacked Under6c189.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over54c184.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0914151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed Over54c146.04$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.181369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over54c143.98$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.236454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over53c142.17$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2410255.9%57 W · 45 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over54c141.24$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.976752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under74c139.92$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.542941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under74c139.92$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.543743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Under74c139.92$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.541942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over54c138.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.829250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c136.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4821545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over41c113.96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6112571.2%89 W · 36 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Over54c109.96$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.582965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over46c109.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6429460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under52c102.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.154447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c99.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6213243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e9…6c9fbacked Over57c97.88$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over68c96.79$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9730957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Over54c95.9$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.111952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65be…5546backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+51.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over68c90.26$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8812848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over56c89.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5310250%51 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over54c87.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.366358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over68c84.67$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0946156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over46c83.16$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.94673.9%34 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over44c81.67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7431158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.639234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over39c75.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8820554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over54c63.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.241,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over54c62.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.984845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6368…d45ebacked Over54c61.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.111361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over73c60.53$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.325961%36 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over54c58.17$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.761,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked Under44c52.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.351833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3d4…5847backed Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under43c43.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.955750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Over54c42.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.633542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Under47c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.33425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092759.3%16 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Over54c34.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.82343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over54c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.649452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under76c32.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.19052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.787955.7%44 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3a…e4f4backed Over55c27.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.271060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Under45c26.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.892254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed Over54c25.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Under46c24.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4268550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over69c20.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.424168.3%28 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.26256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25641.1%23 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Over55c19.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.92850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.