TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Team Yandex, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5388…4d5abacked Team Yandex8c14,291$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.6321847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex5c10,360$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50048954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Team Yandex4c7,166$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7312147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Yandex2c6,471$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Yandex16c5,944$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.6773841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex12c5,024$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.991,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeadf…ff10backed Team Yandex1c4,625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefee…d2b3backed Tundra Esports70c4,361$3,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.3312256.6%69 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex15c3,888$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.332,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Team Yandex1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports75c3,252$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.5553652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Tundra Esports64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1255253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Team Yandex2c3,100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7222033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea4…f4acbacked Team Yandex1c2,852$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-64.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f4…ea5dbacked Team Yandex36c2,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cf…0cc7backed Team Yandex8c2,535$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Team Yandex25c2,350$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.2134146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Yandex14c2,248$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.6225444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Tundra Esports71c2,065$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.5110451%53 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Yandex25c1,963$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.3762841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex33c1,910$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.9485851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea63…682cbacked Team Yandex3c1,874$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf051…a54cbacked Team Yandex9c1,479$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.157149.3%35 W · 36 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex36c1,434$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5539936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb055…c95abacked Team Yandex8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex3c1,173$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8289749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Yandex32c1,161$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37056848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29f9…e310backed Tundra Esports69c1,106$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.8512256.6%69 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55e…c136backed Team Yandex29c1,101$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.293557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Team Yandex10c1,049$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Tundra Esports72c1,006$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.7326958.7%158 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Team Yandex1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015843%68 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Team Yandex2c932.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5414446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Team Yandex6c925.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0810340.8%42 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3050…da3ebacked Team Yandex23c811.85$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.632343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Yandex14c771$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7110338.8%40 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Tundra Esports70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2916149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ee…dc4ebacked Team Yandex2c657.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Yandex2c573$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.486169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95e7…4152backed Team Yandex13c535.14$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702532%8 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Yandex18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Yandex40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014251.4%73 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Team Yandex2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106460.9%39 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Tundra Esports70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509661.5%59 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked Tundra Esports65c499.2$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7213262.9%83 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef92…9df5backed Team Yandex35c499.2$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex4c449.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba2…26bcbacked Team Yandex9c445.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.33540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…8193backed Tundra Esports65c433.9$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.91050%5 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Team Yandex5c413.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2e…6200backed Team Yandex11c411.36$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…0338backed Tundra Esports64c410.64$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.836963.8%44 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Team Yandex30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Yandex16c320$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5236442.3%154 W · 210 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Yandex32c310$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.231545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6060552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports61c283.92$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8260542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Team Yandex21c281.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026741.9%112 W · 155 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2a…c739backed Tundra Esports65c270.43$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Team Yandex38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x669f…3464backed Team Yandex39c256.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Tundra Esports66c244.2$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0317946.9%84 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports69c217.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3347660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8deb…d8e2backed Team Yandex9c200.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.531241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick29cpaid-9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65be…5546backed Tundra Esports67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked Team Yandex20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Team Yandex19c184.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356240.3%25 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4da3…1ca0backed Team Yandex13c169.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9098…c796backed Team Yandex18c162.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Tundra Esports70c160$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.828244%124 W · 158 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Tundra Esports64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2511551.3%59 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed Tundra Esports64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2511452.6%60 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Tundra Esports72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8922453.1%119 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5153…af7dbacked Team Yandex22c128.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.19966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed Team Yandex9c114.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.873145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Team Yandex11c102.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Tundra Esports64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Tundra Esports64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3614948.3%72 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Team Yandex20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e3c…37e4backed Tundra Esports67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb861…27ffbacked Team Yandex39c90.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3b6…1765backed Tundra Esports65c76.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.869244.6%41 W · 51 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fda…f4ebbacked Team Yandex29c75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.811030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Tundra Esports64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.513657.4%78 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Tundra Esports61c56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f07…c74fbacked Tundra Esports64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184037.5%15 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Team Yandex28c49.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Tundra Esports62c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5846872.2%338 W · 130 L+36.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Tundra Esports61c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x047a…941ebacked Team Yandex36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.423640.7%96 W · 140 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe35e…7754backed Tundra Esports78c37.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.084957.1%28 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ece…8211backed Tundra Esports67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Tundra Esports64c26.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5650855.5%282 W · 226 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddd…d755backed Tundra Esports64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.444360.5%26 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae2…356bbacked Tundra Esports66c22.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.783250%16 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de0…d8b7backed Tundra Esports68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.44367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed Tundra Esports64c16.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611163.1%70 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.