Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26b16c869a19d7456bec93ad895d0bd9a622f74ae5ef9127ef81540363c2114d

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Cheeki_Breeki
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $20,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,167 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x52b7…0aa1backed Cheeki_Breeki	33c	2,350$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.49	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team	66c	894.21$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.16	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Cheeki_Breeki	35c	831.93$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.38	545	56.5%308 W · 237 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked L1ga Team	55c	678.14$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.16	367	59.1%217 W · 150 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Cheeki_Breeki	37c	600$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	462	40.7%188 W · 274 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team	67c	514.46$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.68	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed L1ga Team	47c	500$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265	118	36.4%43 W · 75 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed L1ga Team	60c	499.99$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	336	44%148 W · 188 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked L1ga Team	71c	493.36$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.08	179	54.2%97 W · 82 L	-12.6wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed L1ga Team	56c	444.94$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.02	483	52.4%253 W · 230 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Cheeki_Breeki	42c	404.33$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.6	602	51.2%308 W · 294 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Cheeki_Breeki	29c	399.99$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	181	56.4%102 W · 79 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ed…7103backed Cheeki_Breeki	26c	390.82$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.25	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+3.0wins	+0.20per pick	53cpaid	+33%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Cheeki_Breeki	25c	340.59$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.64	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed L1ga Team	55c	311.87$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.34	654	41.9%274 W · 380 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked L1ga Team	65c	301.6$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.81	147	47.6%70 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed L1ga Team	69c	300.28$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.09	361	38.2%138 W · 223 L	-20.4wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed L1ga Team	65c	299.57$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.72	464	51.5%239 W · 225 L	-12.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed L1ga Team	69c	298.56$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.22	713	42.5%303 W · 410 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Cheeki_Breeki	41c	290.59$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.67	390	42.1%164 W · 226 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team	57c	283.76$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.19	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed L1ga Team	77c	268.94$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.91	522	43.9%229 W · 293 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed L1ga Team	43c	224.76$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.18	460	49.8%229 W · 231 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9f07…53d1backed Cheeki_Breeki	45c	218.24$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.14	217	39.2%85 W · 132 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a95…c382backed L1ga Team	59c	200$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83	14	85.7%12 W · 2 L	+3.8wins	+0.27per pick	59cpaid	+53.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Cheeki_Breeki	35c	195.45$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.2	155	45.2%70 W · 85 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked Cheeki_Breeki	16c	192.77$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.84	105	61%64 W · 41 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked L1ga Team	60c	166.17$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.15	610	57.9%353 W · 257 L	+2.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed L1ga Team	56c	150$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.5	925	61.2%566 W · 359 L	+53.8wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked Cheeki_Breeki	52c	149.53$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.47	407	45.5%185 W · 222 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Cheeki_Breeki	31c	148.39$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.67	971	42.7%415 W · 556 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked L1ga Team	21c	143.44$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.04	690	33.3%230 W · 460 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8232…d12fbacked L1ga Team	70c	139.41$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.19	280	62.9%176 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Cheeki_Breeki	45c	125.13$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.54	576	54.5%314 W · 262 L	+29.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Cheeki_Breeki	29c	115.28$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.28	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Cheeki_Breeki	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	468	72.2%338 W · 130 L	+36.5wins	+0.08per pick	64cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Cheeki_Breeki	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	726	37.5%272 W · 454 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Cheeki_Breeki	29c	99.04$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.72	595	56.6%337 W · 258 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a28…d963backed Cheeki_Breeki	40c	98.44$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team	67c	98.02$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.35	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae1…3769backed Cheeki_Breeki	12c	94.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.37	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf483…3f62backed L1ga Team	42c	94.05$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.01	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	+14.2wins	+0.13per pick	38cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7c29…f645backed Cheeki_Breeki	23c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf883…b8b4backed L1ga Team	67c	73.15$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.14	187	64.7%121 W · 66 L	+17.3wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+15%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Cheeki_Breeki	41c	70.58$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.94	216	50.9%110 W · 106 L	-25.3wins	-0.12per pick	63cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked L1ga Team	67c	69.71$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.05	312	51.3%160 W · 152 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd6…9d99backed L1ga Team	75c	68.43$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.2	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Cheeki_Breeki	53c	65$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	461	50.8%234 W · 227 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8f3…12a9backed Cheeki_Breeki	36c	64.41$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.42	117	39.3%46 W · 71 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Cheeki_Breeki	30c	56.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.19	958	41.1%394 W · 564 L	+32.7wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3a…e03dbacked Cheeki_Breeki	34c	56.49$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+63.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc05f…5be0backed Cheeki_Breeki	34c	56.49$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc298…9369backed L1ga Team	77c	50.39$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Cheeki_Breeki	38c	50.06$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	293	50.2%147 W · 146 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x973a…52eabacked Cheeki_Breeki	39c	49.53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…bb4abacked L1ga Team	60c	42.9$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.3	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked L1ga Team	58c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	581	52.5%305 W · 276 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed L1ga Team	74c	39.7$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.16	59	78%46 W · 13 L	+8.7wins	+0.15per pick	63cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed L1ga Team	71c	39.66$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a3e…1316backed L1ga Team	77c	38.58$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed L1ga Team	62c	34$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.92	653	37.2%243 W · 410 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed L1ga Team	79c	32.5$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.82	169	39.6%67 W · 102 L	-15.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked L1ga Team	66c	29.86$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.27	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked L1ga Team	61c	29.3$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.43	138	50%69 W · 69 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked L1ga Team	69c	28.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.82	760	48.6%369 W · 391 L	+26.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed L1ga Team	62c	24.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.42	118	58.5%69 W · 49 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8668…c3ffbacked L1ga Team	72c	20.47$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.72	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+54.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a91…736bbacked L1ga Team	73c	20.17$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.41	73	75.3%55 W · 18 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed L1ga Team	67c	18.61$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.17	105	71.4%75 W · 30 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked L1ga Team	68c	16.72$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.43	149	62.4%93 W · 56 L	+21.8wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked L1ga Team	78c	13.39$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.98	774	58.5%453 W · 321 L	+75.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 2 WinnerCheeki_Breeki won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event