Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc963a1c91c3b23135587b96e958f650e2def6368b1d14ff6da25c66aef7078a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cheeki_Breekiof L1ga Team, Cheeki_Breeki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 36c | 599.97$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.98 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed L1ga Team | 45c | 549.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.49 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 65c | 542.24$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.45 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed L1ga Team | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 64c | 467.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.71 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked L1ga Team | 9c | 458$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Cheeki_Breeki | 37c | 445.23$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.45 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Cheeki_Breeki | 53c | 326$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.34 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed L1ga Team | 8c | 280$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Cheeki_Breeki | 40c | 243.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.39 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked L1ga Team | 71c | 203.02$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 35c | 202.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Cheeki_Breeki | 71c | 202.06$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Cheeki_Breeki | 71c | 196.48$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team | 55c | 179.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 55c | 175.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed L1ga Team | 58c | 150.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked L1ga Team | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 32c | 150.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed L1ga Team | 33c | 110.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked L1ga Team | 64c | 107.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed L1ga Team | 39c | 99.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Cheeki_Breeki | 71c | 97.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed L1ga Team | 65c | 86.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked L1ga Team | 71c | 85.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed L1ga Team | 51c | 76.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac17…eccabacked Cheeki_Breeki | 30c | 72.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Cheeki_Breeki | 68c | 67.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked L1ga Team | 54c | 63.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed L1ga Team | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f3…35b9backed Cheeki_Breeki | 53c | 36.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 36c | 28.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad9…47e5backed L1ga Team | 55c | 26.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed L1ga Team | 75c | 25.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86a…644dbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 71c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed L1ga Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed L1ga Team | 55c | 19.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.