Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82fd617ef38bee76c7765a12a4f485a1ffb312186c2fac58dfe33c2b4c88a43a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Cheeki_Breeki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Cheeki_Breeki | 26c | 3,385$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.1 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed L1ga Team | 80c | 2,937$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.99 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…ac6abacked Cheeki_Breeki | 42c | 2,393$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.3 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed L1ga Team | 74c | 1,753$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.81 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 23c | 1,526$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.87 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked L1ga Team | 66c | 984.98$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.89 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 43c | 910.91$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.69 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 76c | 845.62$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.48 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 32c | 499.8$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Cheeki_Breeki | 33c | 432.39$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed L1ga Team | 73c | 403.86$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed L1ga Team | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 23c | 367.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Cheeki_Breeki | 39c | 257.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked L1ga Team | 79c | 200.91$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed L1ga Team | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked L1ga Team | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 62c | 174.73$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team | 60c | 160$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed L1ga Team | 53c | 158.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed L1ga Team | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed L1ga Team | 40c | 144$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Cheeki_Breeki | 38c | 122.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked L1ga Team | 70c | 121$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 33c | 110.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed L1ga Team | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Cheeki_Breeki | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Cheeki_Breeki | 16c | 89.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed L1ga Team | 41c | 83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked L1ga Team | 76c | 76.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked L1ga Team | 66c | 74.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed L1ga Team | 67c | 72.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed L1ga Team | 67c | 72.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed L1ga Team | 40c | 72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed L1ga Team | 73c | 71.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked L1ga Team | 46c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed L1ga Team | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 72c | 60.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked L1ga Team | 56c | 58.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed L1ga Team | 69c | 56.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed L1ga Team | 41c | 53.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked L1ga Team | 46c | 49.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…26f0backed Cheeki_Breeki | 24c | 48.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked L1ga Team | 51c | 46.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed L1ga Team | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed L1ga Team | 61c | 39.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed L1ga Team | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed L1ga Team | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed L1ga Team | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked L1ga Team | 66c | 25.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed L1ga Team | 41c | 25.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac17…eccabacked L1ga Team | 69c | 18.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 2 WinnerCheeki_Breeki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.