TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c7,586$4,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.553,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over31c5,688$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.035339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under68c1,452$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c1,420$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.784,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under54c1,416$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.5692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over38c1,344$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.625143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over60c1,139$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.24358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over43c1,027$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.4683939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over24c954.4$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0610418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over35c818.31$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.3617128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Under36c769.28$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.341973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.26per pick48cpaid+80.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c734.03$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.891,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over24c640.55$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.731,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under77c541.18$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.479244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over36c534.22$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.322846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over43c523.33$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.038041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d82…545bbacked Over47c510.88$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfbf…8c7bbacked Over20c476$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over10c450.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.052343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over64c381.58$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2112875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over64c357.71$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.943033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under55c291.9$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.362259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb70…e2dcbacked Under36c288.48$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+120.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under58c272.92$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.328354.2%45 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under52c258.82$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.644424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c215.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.51,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over60c211.47$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.881764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…bf30backed Over18c208.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a95…c382backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+97.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under58c199.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8410851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa614…4f85backed Under36c192.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+116.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over26c189.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.894235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under59c181.85$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.563060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over46c170.17$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.475330.2%16 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.076334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over64c152.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8417466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf25…345bbacked Under65c147.24$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under66c146.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9683444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Over10c138.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.45616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Under59c136.3$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over42c135.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.149228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under74c133.25$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59f…e5f2backed Under36c116.53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8165…ba12backed Over43c114.55$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Over25c108.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.172737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8e…39b0backed Over27c106.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.691618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over23c102.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5334252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over62c88.68$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.44035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under75c87.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.411,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over44c85.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.338146.9%38 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Over34c84.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c79.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.261,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over64c76.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9222450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under63c76.39$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.26785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc510…5c9fbacked Under70c74.62$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.581250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7356…04cfbacked Over35c74.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.95757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over40c72.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.923129%9 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2559…053bbacked Under71c67.58$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under35c60.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.56446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under77c59.54$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6222758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under77c59.54$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.629660.4%58 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over44c52.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.192020%4 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under56c52.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.954973.5%36 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under74c49.29$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5835759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under75c49.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.526657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under75c49.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5228357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under75c49.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5223456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over56c48.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0910347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over43c44.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3226545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over43c44.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.326437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under74c44.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6133161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under74c44.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6119555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under74c44.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6120360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under74c44.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6110957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under74c44.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6123957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under74c44.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.619164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under74c44.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.616762.7%42 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over36c40.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4222729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Under76c39.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.462853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over46c38.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.86650%33 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2aa…a527backed Over40c35.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under45c33.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6113251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Under59c33.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.75251.9%27 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over61c32.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9824757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under76c32.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.785068%34 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb71…b5a0backed Over35c29.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.13944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe141…7832backed Under70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…0af4backed Over38c27.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under76c25.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.219953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa8…924ebacked Under52c23.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.351833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under61c19.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.625358.5%31 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1956…1ef8backed Under77c19.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.422035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.