La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37afe96aad1d83fe6590dba8fdece2c1e11bc263591f1820f83e9dde8b024b36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 13c | 2,662$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.35 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 18c | 1,321$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.7 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 1,107$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 77c | 689.66$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.86 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 536.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 11c | 301.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 10c | 290.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 21c | 226.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed Over | 12c | 213.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 10c | 146.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 80c | 136.74$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Under | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 21c | 120.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 20c | 69.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef78…0b70backed Under | 75c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 75c | 20.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 73c | 14.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.