La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4106fbd0e9eeeb2b82646a3d188f26b584339bb73ab1ece032451bebfc4819c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Oviedoof Real Oviedo, RC Celta de Vigo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Oviedo | 61c | 2,419$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.34 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed RC Celta de Vigo | 56c | 868.19$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked RC Celta de Vigo | 13c | 729.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Real Oviedo | 11c | 635.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.99 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed RC Celta de Vigo | 52c | 599.93$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.96 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 56c | 475.13$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.78 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Oviedo | 28c | 437.57$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked RC Celta de Vigo | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Real Oviedo | 53c | 403.39$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.59 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Real Oviedo | 14c | 187.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed RC Celta de Vigo | 54c | 180.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed RC Celta de Vigo | 56c | 175.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 56c | 174.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed RC Celta de Vigo | 6c | 172.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked RC Celta de Vigo | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed RC Celta de Vigo | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Real Oviedo | 46c | 58.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 54c | 45.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Real Oviedo | 46c | 41.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Real Oviedo | 70c | 26.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Real Oviedo | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…bfa6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.