La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea780e4b77ac4a446a871916da1ee269470e2fa1f33b5a135d6f15423166dad3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 2,082$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.27 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 70c | 1,227$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.96 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 72c | 889.55$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.07 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 30c | 880$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.6 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 71c | 773.59$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 17c | 731.17$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 27c | 690.41$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.41 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 582.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 29c | 521.96$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.42 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 75c | 406.75$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.61 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 72c | 275.13$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…0810backed Over | 71c | 154.59$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 20c | 148.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 29c | 135.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Over | 73c | 123.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 121$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…8bf4backed Under | 18c | 104.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…17dabacked Over | 73c | 74.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 71c | 69.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 70c | 63.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…fac0backed Over | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 71c | 32.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 69c | 31.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 70c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked Over | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…adc6backed Over | 72c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.