TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$527,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$544,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over44c294,318$130,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,109.1310450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over48c89,754$43,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,672.23342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c56,508$30,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,082.64,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c32,753$18,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,047.622,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Under54c31,087$16,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,864.71457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c24,286$13,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,703.9983444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under58c20,900$12,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,121.993366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under54c19,550$10,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,561.42040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Under55c19,460$10,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,7031650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under55c17,745$9,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,729.4440357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under55c17,669$9,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,721.449457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under55c15,770$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,600.1911054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under55c15,288$8,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,430.2815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under54c15,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,10010948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c14,436$5,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,637.043,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Over43c10,942$4,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,236.926839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.986746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c9,127$5,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,103.781,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under55c8,834$4,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,860.7210558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa065…b825backed Over79c7,575$5,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under53c7,473$3,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,991.882250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under55c6,912$3,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,769.3510760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under56c5,106$2,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,855.569244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over44c5,051$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.678756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under1c4,703$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.034621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under54c4,466$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.816657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under54c4,466$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.8128357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under54c4,466$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.8123456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x047f…6f34backed Under55c4,458$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under55c4,447$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.2135759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under55c3,946$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.415952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over42c3,736$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.0510848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under52c3,735$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.47439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x155b…f29dbacked Under52c3,691$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c3,672$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.811,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb86f…da81backed Over42c3,532$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+93.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under55c3,167$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.851275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under55c2,945$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.249056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under55c2,945$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.2412159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under38c2,628$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.5692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c2,600$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.3964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under54c2,459$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.3290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under55c2,356$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.199753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7213645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under54c2,236$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.9416660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under55c1,971$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.0210257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…206dbacked Over73c1,821$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under4c1,812$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.62785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick45cpaid+102%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under55c1,774$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.5210759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under55c1,769$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9731656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under55c1,767$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.149058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under55c1,767$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.149556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under55c1,646$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.4913163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over65c1,506$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.151050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under55c1,472$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.129354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3316…c25ebacked Under55c1,415$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under54c1,380$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.2974457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under39c1,379$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.875339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over77c1,300$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2992665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over46c1,295$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.1312445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under55c1,237$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.512863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under51c1,217$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.9819953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under54c1,191$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.153946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under56c1,161$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over44c1,125$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9214250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under52c1,079$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.0822446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf003…08cdbacked Under56c1,043$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under55c985.6$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.519660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over46c967.6$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.511333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under56c955$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.6220159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.620360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.619260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.69660.4%58 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.69164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over44c883.87$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.5415851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under55c883.44$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.079060%54 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under26c736.16$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.125166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under55c729.34$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.7612066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under56c723.85$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.0922658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over44c680.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.2911929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Over74c594.76$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.641764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+77.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under55c591.36$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.519163.7%58 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under55c591.36$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.518457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over48c526$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.5211741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under56c493.25$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.7911154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Under55c485.01$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.63151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under52c466.92$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.822758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under52c466.92$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.817659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under47c442.9$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.167850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4652…6863backed Over46c420.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over44c419.6$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.0319358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under53c413.51$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.914269%29 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2423957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e6d…8027backed Under55c353.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over45c351.99$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3134252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Under56c348.2$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.