Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1451ee409d590bfb605b64c7fa96f929bc14ccab3b16215023eb01377f1220a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Under | 44c | 1,500$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.96 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Over | 4c | 1,383$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4178backed Under | 77c | 1,163$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Under | 72c | 1,105$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Over | 5c | 1,080$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Over | 6c | 1,010$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 78c | 899.43$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.21 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 15c | 700$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 529.73$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.17 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Over | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 15c | 449.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.49 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 417.32$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.29 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 322.95$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 54c | 215.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Over | 9c | 200.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Over | 11c | 174$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 46c | 168.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 19c | 150$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 33c | 126.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a95…c382backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 81.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 54c | 71.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 54c | 71.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 54c | 71.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 54c | 71.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 54c | 71.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 54c | 71.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 55c | 70.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 55c | 70.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 63c | 60.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 67c | 24.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 63c | 20.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-1.5)Rams Başakşehir FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.