Mls · resolved market
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x000a47d29ad9d2570b98943cd43153b667a9dd0db0c80231afe97d242b5d0f01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 39c | 3,043$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 2,708$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.34 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 2,671$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.9 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 2,194$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.49 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 59c | 2,049$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.78 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Yes | 29c | 1,736$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 47c | 1,692$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.18 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,691$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.31 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 40c | 1,628$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.36 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 27c | 1,605$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.36 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 1,542$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.33 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 62c | 1,189$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.23 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 48c | 1,156$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.06 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 72c | 936.89$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.46 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 769.5$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.21 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 61c | 765.63$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.21 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…31a0backed Yes | 40c | 705.87$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Yes | 39c | 686.05$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 595.65$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.07 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 62c | 577$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.95 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Yes | 44c | 544.66$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.65 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 524.04$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.11 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 50c | 517.16$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.8 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 68c | 500$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 8c | 499.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 20c | 498$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 485$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.23 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 30c | 475.83$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 453.79$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.25 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Yes | 17c | 453.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 75c | 429.63$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Yes | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 68c | 410.75$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 28c | 410$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 20c | 367.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 70c | 357.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 66c | 356.48$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 13c | 351.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.23 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 71c | 316.07$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 71c | 314.03$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 43c | 309.31$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 37c | 302.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a95…c382backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 56c | 298.39$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.42 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 72c | 283.73$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 72c | 283.73$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 72c | 283.73$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 72c | 277.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 40c | 274.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 73c | 272.71$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 10c | 270.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 10c | 257.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.94 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 43c | 256.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 43c | 250$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…2075backed No | 60c | 247$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked No | 60c | 246.37$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 44c | 242$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 56c | 242$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…af35backed Yes | 28c | 224.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 72c | 209$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 20c | 197.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…caf9backed Yes | 15c | 196.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 61c | 193.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked No | 60c | 192.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 61c | 165.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 9c | 159.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 72c | 157.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 39c | 157.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 27c | 153.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 57c | 138.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 57c | 138.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…f1fcbacked Yes | 15c | 137.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 66c | 127.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 60c | 126.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 39c | 126.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 44c | 118$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 75c | 112.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 17c | 106.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 20c | 105.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 60c | 103.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 20c | 99.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…7f6bbacked Yes | 11c | 94.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Yes | 11c | 93.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 20c | 89.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 55c | 74.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Yes | 20c | 68.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Toronto FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.