Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa554e55b41e11014d5b1a51f99b3c98db6a3d5be2c7e7606f61cfaf9e73f4ce0

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,784 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	70c	9,883$6,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,917.17	988	44.4%439 W · 549 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over	24c	6,250$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.97	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over	19c	2,448$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.06	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	62c	1,842$1,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704.79	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	30c	960.6$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.82	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6785…98c3backed Over	21c	802.91$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.61	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.48per pick	27cpaid	+306.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	48c	599.99$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.99	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over	37c	522.34$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.42	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	25c	514.29$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.57	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over	30c	509.2$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.1	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	28c	502.28$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.73	309	54.7%169 W · 140 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over	25c	499.96$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.99	86	25.6%22 W · 64 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over	49c	495.86$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.33	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+4.7wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	75c	434.14$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.82	110	55.5%61 W · 49 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under	76c	431.61$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.59	29	72.4%21 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	35c	388.36$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.82	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-5.6wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	43c	363.06$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.48	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under	77c	353.38$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.65	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	39c	337.12$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.91	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	+8.0wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a95…c382backed Over	46c	300$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce4…da39backed Under	75c	297.84$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.98	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	26c	296.91$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.57	108	39.8%43 W · 65 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	76c	259.36$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.25	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over	9c	255.97$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.41	94	31.9%30 W · 64 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	76c	254.04$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	75c	247.21$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.59	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9a…768ebacked Over	60c	236.47$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x315d…b420backed Under	61c	217.02$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.08	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	23c	213$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.95	135	51.1%69 W · 66 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	118	58.5%69 W · 49 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over	41c	198.8$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.45	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over	48c	197.7$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.73	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-5.3wins	-0.30per pick	46cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under	76c	197.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.31	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	70cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Under	73c	170.63$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.27	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9180…3ff1backed Under	72c	155.67$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.59	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	76c	134.12$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.19	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	79c	134$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.14	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-4.9wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	62c	131.1$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.21	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over	38c	129.81$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.33	66	50%33 W · 33 L	-6.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	59c	129.72$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.48	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under	40c	120.5$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.3	28	78.6%22 W · 6 L	+6.7wins	+0.24per pick	55cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	75c	119.99$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.25	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	51c	104.49$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.93	247	32.4%80 W · 167 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	25c	103$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.75	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over	31c	101.42$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.34	83	27.7%23 W · 60 L	-10.2wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over	20c	100.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.05	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	76c	100.04$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.01	22	50%11 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc6…85f2backed Over	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5618…f2c0backed Over	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over	40c	99.41$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.76	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-7.3wins	-0.15per pick	34cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa46f…87c3backed Under	79c	98.73$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.93	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.18per pick	68cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Under	77c	98.62$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.68	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	69cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	73c	90.18$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.6	349	37.8%132 W · 217 L	-13.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	27c	79.55$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.48	168	65.5%110 W · 58 L	+22.1wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa855…2909backed Over	26c	78.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over	63c	77.6$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.89	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under	76c	72.51$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.4	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over	30c	70$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over	30c	66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	77	39%30 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Under	79c	56.55$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.09	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under	62c	55.24$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.04	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.18per pick	68cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	51c	54.99$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.81	107	57.9%62 W · 45 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a39…1a00backed Under	54c	51.32$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.61	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…af0cbacked Over	55c	51.3$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.22	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Under	75c	51.22$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.8	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	76c	50.58$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.14	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	64c	49.89$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.06	235	51.5%121 W · 114 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bec…aad9backed Under	48c	49.15$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.36per pick	61cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47b2…4eb3backed Under	48c	48.44$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.19	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cdf…f30abacked Under	38c	46.67$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.09	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.62per pick	38cpaid	+165.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Under	72c	41.74$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.86	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under	71c	41.52$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.04	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over	46c	40.55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.65	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over	35c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	52c	38.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.2	149	51%76 W · 73 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…2a49backed Under	52c	37.37$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.91	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	55c	35.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under	65c	34.22$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.99	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+79%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5ac…5e9ebacked Under	80c	33.5$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.71	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over	34c	32.65$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under	73c	31.69$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.54	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+3.3wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under	80c	31.06$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.21	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under	75c	29.55$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.39	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Under	67c	29.23$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over	55c	28.79$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.89	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under	75c	26.27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.57	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-9.7wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under	75c	26.27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.57	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa016…4bc6backed Under	75c	26.27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.57	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under	80c	26.01$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under	76c	25.94$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.22	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.16per pick	68cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4884…4a5bbacked Under	76c	25.63$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.15	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	74c	24.98$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.49	324	53.1%172 W · 152 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Under	58c	23.53$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.88	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Under	64c	23.26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.46	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x26ec…7ed3backed Under	79c	22$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.7	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under	80c	21.74$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.35	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Under	76c	19.71$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.73	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under	76c	17.43$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.18	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	61cpaid	+170.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47cc…6aa7backed Under	76c	14.78$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.55	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Under	76c	13.72$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.29	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5this page
Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Spread: Macarthur FC (-1.5)Macarthur FC won
Spread: Macarthur FC (-2.5)Macarthur FC won
Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-1.5)Macarthur FC won
Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-2.5)Macarthur FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event