Australian A League · resolved market
Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ca8891aede25cc227e4b67d0312c32ac33925b469caae91a1a24a2aa54726d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 64c | 4,382$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.94 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 35c | 3,261$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.31 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 2,389$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.63 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 805.41$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.48 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 67c | 731.49$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.1 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 64c | 543.46$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +206.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 461.74$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.03 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 65c | 458.27$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.45 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 35c | 440.37$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.82 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 68c | 388.54$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.21 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 67c | 313.37$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed No | 44c | 303.53$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 67c | 294.06$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.02 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed No | 25c | 256.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Yes | 16c | 252.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Yes | 68c | 242.2$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 67c | 237.3$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 66c | 223.81$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 68c | 173.68$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed No | 33c | 148$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 22c | 147.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 34c | 146.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Yes | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 68c | 137.31$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 33c | 136.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 34c | 115.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed No | 45c | 108.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed No | 51c | 93.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked No | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 75c | 84.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 66c | 79.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 66c | 61.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed No | 34c | 60.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…fbebbacked Yes | 61c | 57.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 38c | 55.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 67c | 51.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 65c | 44.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 57c | 44.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 32c | 40.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 34c | 38.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Yes | 42c | 36.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 64c | 35.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 58c | 35.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 49c | 34.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…aad9backed Yes | 61c | 34.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…1ad5backed Yes | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Yes | 58c | 25.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 44c | 24.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 68c | 19.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b59…db3fbacked Yes | 64c | 16.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Macarthur FC (-1.5)Macarthur FC won
- Spread: Macarthur FC (-2.5)Macarthur FC won
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-1.5)Macarthur FC won
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-2.5)Macarthur FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.