Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0db2353352bf04e2f08eb9dbcec3e88d403e438dd967c8c0a712bee97c0ac362
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 1,010$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.41 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 31c | 981.13$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.15 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 45c | 660.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 13c | 525.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 486.81$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.14 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 410.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a95…c382backed Under | 78c | 267.86$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Under | 64c | 250$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 40c | 247.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 53c | 173.58$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 54c | 164$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 46c | 164$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Under | 56c | 161.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 150.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 25c | 145.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 13c | 142.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 13c | 142.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 18c | 100.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 21c | 68.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 43c | 57.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 50.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 41c | 44.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 55c | 39.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 45c | 39.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…cc66backed Over | 32c | 32.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe073…a4acbacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…dfecbacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d98…c4d2backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc2…6c2fbacked Under | 52c | 23.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1794…8848backed Over | 47c | 23.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…2c57backed Over | 47c | 23.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f59…10f5backed Over | 47c | 23.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…67d5backed Over | 47c | 23.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d2…4a45backed Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…51dabacked Over | 48c | 22.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…46f6backed Over | 47c | 22.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 69c | 21.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…7e9bbacked Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…1d23backed Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…9a02backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…6750backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.