Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fed677bdc88f0c131a99a87fd30a2386b0519c278dfd7e844c5a0684d0b2cb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,937$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.7 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 42c | 1,009$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.97 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 32c | 842$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.56 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 43c | 697.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 32c | 556.66$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.53 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 424.18$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.29 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 70c | 349.72$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 71c | 297.18$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 277.6$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 260.76$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 44c | 199.57$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 51c | 196.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 32c | 180.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.01 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…fd44backed Under | 41c | 149.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 58c | 146.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 50c | 138.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 32c | 113.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 54c | 102.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 50c | 101.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 38c | 87.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 30c | 71.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 30c | 71.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 30c | 71.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 30c | 71.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 30c | 71.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 30c | 71.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 30c | 71.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 30c | 71.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 30c | 71.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 30c | 71.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…c5afbacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…4be6backed Under | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 65c | 61.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 44c | 46.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 45.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 70c | 41.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…1faebacked Under | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…2fecbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 68c | 29.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…9551backed Under | 75c | 29.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 55c | 27.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 48c | 25.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.