Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bdcd6967ca6f81f84dd1fd662a28c32b85238c4c888bab812e6f9c086082497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof OG, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $383,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 55,264$28,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,640.97 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked OG | 48c | 41,647$19,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,990.53 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed OG | 50c | 33,000$16,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,573.47 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…4dd1backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 22,873$14,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,083.83 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 21,111$10,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,555.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked OG | 28c | 14,593$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,136.59 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 9,657$4,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,736.67 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 5,271$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.48 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed OG | 48c | 5,222$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 51c | 4,798$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.48 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 4,110$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.8 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed OG | 48c | 3,840$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.93 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 3,837$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.67 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed OG | 37c | 3,113$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.87 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,110$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.75 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 54c | 2,735$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.02 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed OG | 44c | 2,279$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.43 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…1aacbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,968$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed OG | 53c | 1,832$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.66 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed OG | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,484$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.69 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed OG | 55c | 1,474$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.7 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed OG | 53c | 1,322$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed OG | 49c | 1,119$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.88 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,093$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.28 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked OG | 28c | 1,072$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 53c | 1,050$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.2 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked OG | 41c | 1,050$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed OG | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked OG | 17c | 1,000$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked OG | 56c | 978.91$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.94 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OG | 48c | 955.89$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.33 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 920.45$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.91 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked OG | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed OG | 57c | 877.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed OG | 10c | 865.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 823.82$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.58 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…951cbacked OG | 70c | 771.26$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.03 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 48c | 763.28$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 757.85$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.67 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 700$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.17 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 691.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.31 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…09a3backed OG | 56c | 628.39$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 583.83$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.94 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked OG | 21c | 581.01$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.05 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed OG | 28c | 540.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 515.59$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.11 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 503.27$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.93 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed OG | 21c | 500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed OG | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed OG | 58c | 499.03$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked OG | 78c | 474.41$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.63 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked OG | 48c | 454$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.67 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 390.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed OG | 52c | 385.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 375.9$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.9 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 316.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 299.28$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed OG | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed OG | 34c | 284$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed OG | 48c | 273.68$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.37 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked OG | 58c | 272.51$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.15 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…c5adbacked OG | 45c | 263.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 253.52$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked OG | 55c | 233.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed OG | 52c | 229.36$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed OG | 28c | 229.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed OG | 61c | 226.29$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…63c3backed OG | 23c | 218.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked OG | 79c | 215.97$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed OG | 17c | 215.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 214.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…7d48backed OG | 50c | 199.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 199.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed OG | 34c | 194.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed OG | 55c | 190$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 179.74$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…7a4bbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 163.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 163$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked OG | 49c | 151.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0544backed OG | 33c | 144.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 136.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764e…4987backed OG | 66c | 132.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OG | 55c | 128.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 125$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed OG | 48c | 120.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 120.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 120.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…4f63backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 111.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed OG | 38c | 107.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 106.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed OG | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 98.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked OG | 48c | 93.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fad…eee9backed OG | 56c | 84.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.