TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Galions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$302,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74f5…b1c6backed Natus Vincere59c24,331$14,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,854.654774.5%35 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Galions27c12,646$3,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,463.4267250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Galions34c9,928$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,394.71,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Natus Vincere73c8,500$6,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.9939964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x446f…b09fbacked Natus Vincere60c8,338$5,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,321.771861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Galions42c8,051$3,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,377.1267760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Galions17c7,012$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.4751044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere73c7,000$5,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89891854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Galions1c5,555$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.553775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Natus Vincere72c5,500$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.991,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Galions32c5,124$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.8585442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Galions34c4,885$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.981,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Galions12c4,248$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.772934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Galions26c4,119$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.0676639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Galions20c4,108$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.6889943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Galions37c2,611$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.021,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Galions17c2,591$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4461,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Galions20c2,261$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.592,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Galions53c2,224$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18621258%123 W · 89 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Galions46c2,127$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97321749.8%108 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Galions17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Galions34c1,758$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.8597427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Galions43c1,734$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.228827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x868b…1eb0backed Natus Vincere63c1,639$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.9810550.5%53 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Galions36c1,549$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.3774250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Galions24c1,529$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.5994134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x823b…59e9backed Natus Vincere72c1,414$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.5312450%62 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Galions27c1,336$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.581,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Galions26c1,305$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.333,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Natus Vincere69c1,103$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.0786251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Galions40c1,061$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.5650749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…5095backed Galions18c1,008$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.696633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Galions28c1,001$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.3623751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1994…d63cbacked Natus Vincere67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3309364.5%60 W · 33 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c6d…8371backed Natus Vincere73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Galions17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c8…cf96backed Natus Vincere61c971.01$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.927341.1%30 W · 43 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid-15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Galions17c914.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.71,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Galions27c879$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3319731%61 W · 136 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc177…7fbbbacked Galions19c782.21$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3316429.9%49 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Galions17c777.01$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.091,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2897…b9d8backed Natus Vincere78c758.84$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9111464.9%74 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Natus Vincere67c749.94$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9454246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Natus Vincere61c742.14$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.1442847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c75…1b0dbacked Galions19c700$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1339129.7%27 W · 64 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf434…1db7backed Galions34c663.64$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.031145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Galions48c657.28$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.1346637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Galions49c640$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.2166843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Galions33c621.23$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.719743.7%86 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…563ebacked Natus Vincere54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2766734.3%23 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Natus Vincere57c599.98$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.9935346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8227…0bccbacked Natus Vincere52c597.23$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.677060%42 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x709c…ce30backed Galions24c587.42$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7310034%34 W · 66 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Galions15c567.41$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6564247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Galions28c546$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8813454.5%73 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Galions13c540.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2387844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Natus Vincere57c535.86$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.830357.1%173 W · 130 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Galions19c534.48$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.531,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Galions14c534.08$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0952438.9%204 W · 320 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Natus Vincere64c527.09$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.241,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Galions19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068942.5%293 W · 396 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Galions40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20075342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed Natus Vincere71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14555750.4%281 W · 276 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Galions13c499.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6532036.9%118 W · 202 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Natus Vincere76c499.99$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.51,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Galions17c499.97$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8579653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Natus Vincere70c492.99$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7332160.7%195 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Galions41c487.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047953.2%255 W · 224 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere67c471.38$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.581,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Galions41c448.77$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0286943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Galions14c430.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2710346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Galions19c406.1$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.186649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x566b…ceb9backed Natus Vincere51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19614348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Galions48c397.23$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6767552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Galions36c395.43$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.260347.9%289 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Natus Vincere78c382.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9141945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ea…9d52backed Natus Vincere67c373.82$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.829961.6%61 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Galions15c367.73$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.161,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…f6b9backed Natus Vincere77c353.95$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7127465.7%180 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Natus Vincere72c350$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9742852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Natus Vincere60c340$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6263352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6322…ab7fbacked Galions9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Natus Vincere78c333$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2620764.3%133 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee39…8cf1backed Natus Vincere53c314.43$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Galions24c309$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.281,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked Natus Vincere75c300.44$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4444245.9%203 W · 239 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Galions17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Galions38c288.95$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4536946.1%170 W · 199 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Galions43c287.68$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2240546.2%187 W · 218 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Galions37c280$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.656650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…34e9backed Natus Vincere55c280$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12677545%349 W · 426 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c18…9b0ebacked Galions18c272.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497145.1%32 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Natus Vincere73c272.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2228638.1%109 W · 177 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc762…0276backed Galions45c264.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.244540%18 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Natus Vincere73c258.28$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9232566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Galions18c251.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3967553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Natus Vincere67c246.56$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.111,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere40c244.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.581,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b94…d382backed Galions27c240.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654119.5%8 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.