Lol · resolved market
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac00600f006a7f7d1633346f7f5ddebb972cc6dc4cef8635bb71d8935e679c23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Galions | 0c | 24,331$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Galions | 18c | 11,400$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.92 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74f5…b1c6backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 9,393$6,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.92 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +7.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Galions | 26c | 8,110$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.6 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Galions | 20c | 4,812$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.34 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 4,800$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 453 | 66%299 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Galions | 6c | 4,351$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.23 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Galions | 19c | 4,350$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.5 | 530 | 47.5%252 W · 278 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Galions | 22c | 2,222$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.95 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Galions | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Galions | 28c | 2,000$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.82 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Galions | 17c | 1,868$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Galions | 19c | 1,652$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.06 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Galions | 21c | 1,548$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.15 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Galions | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Galions | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Galions | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Galions | 19c | 1,071$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Galions | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Galions | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed Galions | 24c | 999.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 557 | 50.4%281 W · 276 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Galions | 19c | 999.64$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 880.55$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Galions | 15c | 871.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 799.99$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.61 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Galions | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Galions | 15c | 745.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Galions | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Galions | 19c | 678$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.82 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Galions | 19c | 596.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Galions | 2c | 574.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Galions | 22c | 567.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Galions | 11c | 516.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Galions | 19c | 515.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Galions | 18c | 515$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Galions | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Galions | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Galions | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 492.03$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf434…1db7backed Galions | 19c | 488.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Galions | 25c | 479.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Galions | 23c | 430$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Galions | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Galions | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Galions | 16c | 364.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Galions | 16c | 357.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 357$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 350.48$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Galions | 18c | 345.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c18…9b0ebacked Galions | 17c | 294.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Galions | 8c | 290$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…bda8backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 258 | 53.5%138 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Galions | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Galions | 22c | 249.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 243.83$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Galions | 18c | 220$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…5085backed Galions | 23c | 216.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 56.8%134 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25fe…ba20backed Galions | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Galions | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…8398backed Galions | 21c | 193.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Galions | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 329 | 54.4%179 W · 150 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…8ea8backed Galions | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Galions | 30c | 168.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Galions | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ea…9d52backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 156.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 149.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Galions | 15c | 147.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8c…c7cebacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…b8bcbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 212 | 55.2%117 W · 95 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…63f4backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 134.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 450 | 42.2%190 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…5901backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 132.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Galions | 18c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…b3d8backed Galions | 29c | 123.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 243 | 59.3%144 W · 99 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Galions | 13c | 111.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Galions | 19c | 110.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Galions | 17c | 107.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7a…725cbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 102.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Galions | 25c | 102$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Galions | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Galions | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Galions | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 366 | 60.1%220 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…1cdbbacked Galions | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 267 | 34.5%92 W · 175 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Galions | 19c | 98.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Galions | 15c | 89.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed Galions | 18c | 88.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 197 | 38.6%76 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Galions | 22c | 86.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 83.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 93 | 76.3%71 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Galions | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Galions | 26c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…a7a5backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 66.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…4129backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 63.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Galions | 24c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galions | 24c | 48.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.