Lol · resolved market
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe48fc150a1cd6ffdb9f5144a0b9a4fccfbdc5ceaec58ffd107fa7fc26c2d0c52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Galions | 0c | 33,333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Galions | 19c | 22,824$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.35 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Galions | 2c | 17,775$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.81 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 9,455$7,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.94 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Galions | 10c | 8,335$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.54 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Galions | 11c | 4,593$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.47 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Galions | 8c | 4,100$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.99 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Galions | 10c | 3,120$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Galions | 11c | 2,934$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.79 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Galions | 10c | 2,554$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.38 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Galions | 0c | 2,510$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 114 | 0%0 W · 114 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Galions | 2c | 2,174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Galions | 10c | 1,553$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.3 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Galions | 7c | 1,492$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Galions | 13c | 1,212$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Galions | 13c | 1,163$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Galions | 2c | 1,032$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Galions | 11c | 999.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Galions | 11c | 979.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96be…69a9backed Galions | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…e082backed Galions | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Galions | 5c | 840$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Galions | 3c | 821.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Galions | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Galions | 5c | 750$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54be…b792backed Galions | 11c | 541.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Galions | 11c | 490.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Galions | 2c | 478.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked Galions | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 16%17 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Galions | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Galions | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Galions | 11c | 454.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b94…d382backed Galions | 11c | 439.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Galions | 11c | 435.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed Galions | 12c | 394.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 383 | 42.8%164 W · 219 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2eb…8979backed Galions | 12c | 394.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Galions | 5c | 392.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 498 | 41.6%207 W · 291 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Galions | 11c | 382.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Galions | 12c | 334.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…3b4fbacked Galions | 9c | 329.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Galions | 10c | 248.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Galions | 11c | 245$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Galions | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Galions | 10c | 206.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 203$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc177…7fbbbacked Galions | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Galions | 8c | 190.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 531 | 39.9%212 W · 319 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…a3b1backed Galions | 11c | 189.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Galions | 8c | 172$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Galions | 11c | 165$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 129$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1,025 | 39.6%406 W · 619 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Galions | 12c | 127.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…570cbacked Galions | 11c | 95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Galions | 11c | 94.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 621 | 50.6%314 W · 307 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Galions | 12c | 94.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.