TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
L1ga Teamof Yellow Submarine, L1ga Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,283
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,283 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26f8…3452backed Yellow Submarine60c14,567$8,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,740.215457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team35c6,630$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,298.9371454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked L1ga Team38c3,475$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.788544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yellow Submarine79c2,308$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.3367043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Yellow Submarine69c2,200$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52436759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1994…d63cbacked L1ga Team44c1,994$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.724261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15eb…491cbacked Yellow Submarine1c1,896$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yellow Submarine63c1,354$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.4232854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Yellow Submarine46c1,251$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.5125935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked L1ga Team33c1,103$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.0337945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed Yellow Submarine67c1,023$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.1811742.7%50 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed L1ga Team34c995.87$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.8933549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked L1ga Team42c991.91$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.3180256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine66c970.77$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.122,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed L1ga Team12c966.17$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.9933541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked L1ga Team40c875.61$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.3736851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team29c848.29$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.4629240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9505…57acbacked L1ga Team63c809.52$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed L1ga Team40c797.8$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.682857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Yellow Submarine50c783.8$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.9826661.7%164 W · 102 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine66c770.53$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.341,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked L1ga Team38c748.14$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.8446240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79a1…a5cfbacked Yellow Submarine74c713.91$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.161060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed L1ga Team32c702.44$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.6851751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Yellow Submarine61c701.38$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8469644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed L1ga Team23c685.87$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.0251049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yellow Submarine66c649.4$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.67955.7%44 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488b…219bbacked Yellow Submarine68c620.42$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked L1ga Team31c610.71$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.5617954.2%97 W · 82 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Yellow Submarine71c590.91$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.9662650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed L1ga Team38c582.39$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.7630647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team36c555.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5561745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed L1ga Team38c499.84$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.965441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Yellow Submarine61c495$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.951,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Yellow Submarine62c488.6$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9396245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked L1ga Team60c487.97$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6342145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked Yellow Submarine50c334.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.54736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed L1ga Team36c324.9$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5748054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yellow Submarine65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Yellow Submarine60c299.43$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.352243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Yellow Submarine63c298.74$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.271,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Yellow Submarine66c293.84$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2914849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team19c280.15$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.951,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked L1ga Team35c246.79$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.048458.3%49 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Yellow Submarine46c228.68$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9925147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed L1ga Team17c210$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.353634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked Yellow Submarine66c205.36$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5419951.8%103 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8001…3da4backed Yellow Submarine66c190.19$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.062339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked L1ga Team40c154.64$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.794535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Yellow Submarine65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.929350.2%147 W · 146 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Yellow Submarine75c148.31$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.248132.1%26 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Yellow Submarine68c137.05$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.239042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Yellow Submarine44c135$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0636044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed L1ga Team30c133.62$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9620858.7%122 W · 86 L+22.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine60c124.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.542,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked L1ga Team40c115.68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.416152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Yellow Submarine40c115.54$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2140534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed L1ga Team50c102.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6538855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Yellow Submarine28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.735032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yellow Submarine15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1578516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Yellow Submarine65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6558152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6279343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed L1ga Team35c83.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3418042.8%77 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed L1ga Team40c79.63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7812252.5%64 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Yellow Submarine65c76.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.271,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team26c75.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.761,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2804…1e80backed Yellow Submarine64c69.37$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.73742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yellow Submarine70c66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2169033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Yellow Submarine66c59.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8950757.4%291 W · 216 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked Yellow Submarine58c56.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7433854.1%183 W · 155 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Yellow Submarine71c55.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6228544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yellow Submarine42c52.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0720954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Yellow Submarine56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2131…1e8bbacked Yellow Submarine56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.24247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked L1ga Team33c47.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9252649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee59…e42abacked Yellow Submarine54c44.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9128846.9%135 W · 153 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Yellow Submarine71c43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.630250%151 W · 151 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…ef1cbacked Yellow Submarine53c42.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6922740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efb…c0e6backed L1ga Team50c42.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0322259%131 W · 91 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1676…ab19backed Yellow Submarine55c41.52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.925545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Yellow Submarine71c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5165337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…8c08backed Yellow Submarine44c39.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64748.9%23 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81fe…4089backed Yellow Submarine64c38.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3613262.9%83 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b05…078abacked Yellow Submarine66c35.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.514348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc8b…01e9backed Yellow Submarine50c34.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.324443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Yellow Submarine58c33.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.517537.1%65 W · 110 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked L1ga Team35c32.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4236761%224 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed Yellow Submarine65c31.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2816054.4%87 W · 73 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Yellow Submarine70c29.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6914963.1%94 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Yellow Submarine67c29.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.634045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff1…12e4backed Yellow Submarine50c28.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2412937.2%48 W · 81 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5011…6237backed Yellow Submarine60c27.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.796149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1620…227bbacked Yellow Submarine68c24.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9513762.8%86 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f8…6ef8backed L1ga Team60c24.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.762060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7560…1ee1backed Yellow Submarine44c24.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.621133.6%71 W · 140 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Yellow Submarine61c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0320448%98 W · 106 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Yellow Submarine61c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0321748.8%106 W · 111 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Yellow Submarine61c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0325351.4%130 W · 123 L+23.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e67…0f23backed Yellow Submarine62c21.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.137263.9%46 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Yellow Submarine67c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1235430.5%108 W · 246 L-27.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.