TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Stage Decider

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
L1ga Teamof Yellow Submarine, L1ga Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,599 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26f8…3452backed L1ga Team46c9,250$4,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,976.4815457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team28c5,485$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,953.571454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yellow Submarine58c4,941$2,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.771342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yellow Submarine65c3,709$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,425.0332854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Yellow Submarine51c2,220$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.958544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1994…d63cbacked L1ga Team25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.994261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Yellow Submarine7c2,000$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14514751.7%76 W · 71 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed L1ga Team18c1,997$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.6850832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team34c1,825$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.341,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine68c1,719$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.622,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Yellow Submarine58c1,647$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.1532652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Yellow Submarine75c1,574$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.3835758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Yellow Submarine68c1,523$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.0117954.2%97 W · 82 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Yellow Submarine70c1,477$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.0351049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed L1ga Team37c1,474$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.9638855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team34c1,382$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.9999844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9505…57acbacked Yellow Submarine62c1,317$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.521656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6215…d198backed L1ga Team16c1,291$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed L1ga Team36c1,256$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.5133549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf804…4c3dbacked Yellow Submarine54c1,084$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd1…b201backed L1ga Team32c1,066$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.75742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked L1ga Team36c1,045$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.8580256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Yellow Submarine80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001650%8 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked L1ga Team36c978.15$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.7142145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed L1ga Team14c920.51$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.641758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yellow Submarine1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121040%0 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Yellow Submarine58c899.98$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.9950769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked L1ga Team35c888.45$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.4946240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team37c807.35$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.2129240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Yellow Submarine1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10442.3%1 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-89.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team33c796.46$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.1967043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Yellow Submarine54c723$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.9125147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Yellow Submarine57c706.27$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.2822647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed Yellow Submarine75c656.59$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.52857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine69c618.66$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.362,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd6…e33abacked Yellow Submarine80c618.25$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed L1ga Team38c599.97$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.9840047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed L1ga Team50c582.22$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.2220457.8%118 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked L1ga Team34c576.24$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.3218156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Yellow Submarine60c564.61$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.8129350.2%147 W · 146 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked L1ga Team18c543.9$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.6920738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed L1ga Team37c499.44$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.1465441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed L1ga Team20c491.04$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.9233541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Yellow Submarine74c488.12$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.3225935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yellow Submarine61c478.72$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.021020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-58.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yellow Submarine61c464.99$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.681,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Yellow Submarine61c463.19$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.8261745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Yellow Submarine70c446.15$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.426661.7%164 W · 102 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Yellow Submarine74c390.64$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7436851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yellow Submarine66c372.96$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8746664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Yellow Submarine70c372.5$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.712252.5%64 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da2…8c2bbacked Yellow Submarine66c372.37$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7710966.1%72 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked L1ga Team38c356.44$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6748539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Yellow Submarine62c350.78$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4932148.3%155 W · 166 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yellow Submarine76c336.25$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.0436654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked L1ga Team28c326.36$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4320954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed L1ga Team45c315.77$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.597448.6%36 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed L1ga Team38c304.4$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.8739042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed L1ga Team33c301.27$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.6148352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed L1ga Team20c299.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9911836.4%43 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed Yellow Submarine67c293.89$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.853450%17 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked L1ga Team64c293.51$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.664346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yellow Submarine52c293$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1778516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked L1ga Team27c292.04$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5970052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed L1ga Team35c275.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1346049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed L1ga Team37c272.03$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1151550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6af6…c777backed L1ga Team36c267.21$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed L1ga Team34c259.31$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1451751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked L1ga Team17c256.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.547231.9%23 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Yellow Submarine65c246.3$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0258152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…8c08backed Yellow Submarine49c239$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.994748.9%23 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked L1ga Team44c237.29$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1328750.6%44 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed L1ga Team45c235.56$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5829347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf483…3f62backed L1ga Team22c221.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4411150.5%56 W · 55 L+14.2wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked L1ga Team34c213.56$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4852649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Yellow Submarine73c204.07$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8380544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed L1ga Team24c200.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9730647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Yellow Submarine33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6616250%81 W · 81 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Yellow Submarine29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588253.7%44 W · 38 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77a0…4bfdbacked Yellow Submarine47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Yellow Submarine61c199.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.991,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed L1ga Team22c190.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.051060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+41.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Yellow Submarine28c186$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.912651.6%65 W · 61 L+14.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed L1ga Team23c182.29$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8120858.7%122 W · 86 L+22.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed L1ga Team46c181.79$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.511652.6%61 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed L1ga Team21c180$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.253634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed L1ga Team26c175.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3536138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Yellow Submarine40c157$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.336044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf8…8bb4backed L1ga Team17c155.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+473.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed L1ga Team36c153.86$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.482450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked L1ga Team34c150.54$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4486659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79a1…a5cfbacked Yellow Submarine80c150$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.251060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Yellow Submarine44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1512720.5%26 W · 101 L-22.6wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.9%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xb8df…8a93backed L1ga Team9c149.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+216.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Yellow Submarine30c146.4$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.266960.9%42 W · 27 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed Yellow Submarine54c144.03$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.496442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4b…5345backed L1ga Team50c141.61$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.921258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Yellow Submarine72c140$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.819552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed L1ga Team29c135.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9618042.8%77 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed L1ga Team38c131.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.954445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.