Lol · resolved market
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fcf7022eb120771c42709708382662fa21e9a0fe62584b18a34481b8349c5c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Apex Mission Impossibleof Apex Mission Impossible, Blue Otter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 34c | 2,552$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.01 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blue Otter | 57c | 2,447$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.87 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Apex Mission Impossible | 48c | 2,437$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.31 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 43c | 2,410$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.39 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Blue Otter | 46c | 2,121$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.83 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Blue Otter | 47c | 1,960$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 51c | 1,459$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.06 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Blue Otter | 50c | 1,417$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.74 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.99 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Blue Otter | 5c | 1,287$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 22c | 972.46$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.03 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Apex Mission Impossible | 46c | 939.42$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.22 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Apex Mission Impossible | 38c | 890.4$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.32 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Apex Mission Impossible | 47c | 788.98$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.31 | 571 | 51.5%294 W · 277 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 43c | 774.99$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.22 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Blue Otter | 77c | 669.85$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.78 | 440 | 39.5%174 W · 266 L | -25.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 54c | 541.8$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.2 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 52c | 536.2$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.29 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…a35abacked Apex Mission Impossible | 63c | 525.74$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.17 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Blue Otter | 63c | 493.59$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Blue Otter | 61c | 489.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Apex Mission Impossible | 60c | 488.19$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.39 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 89 | 67.4%60 W · 29 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Blue Otter | 66c | 445.85$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.86 | 319 | 55.8%178 W · 141 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…2d1fbacked Blue Otter | 44c | 437.92$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Blue Otter | 47c | 413.29$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 244 | 35.7%87 W · 157 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Apex Mission Impossible | 58c | 347.6$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Blue Otter | 59c | 337.2$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.26 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 70c | 330.96$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Apex Mission Impossible | 52c | 305.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.22 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Blue Otter | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Blue Otter | 55c | 293.19$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Blue Otter | 54c | 286.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.68 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…9805backed Apex Mission Impossible | 69c | 285.45$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Blue Otter | 79c | 268.05$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.61 | 312 | 42.6%133 W · 179 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Blue Otter | 66c | 239.28$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.51 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Apex Mission Impossible | 62c | 232.06$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Apex Mission Impossible | 39c | 230.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 42c | 228.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 640 | 48.1%308 W · 332 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Apex Mission Impossible | 43c | 225.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.13 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…def4backed Apex Mission Impossible | 43c | 225.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.02 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 30c | 223.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd1…5792backed Blue Otter | 47c | 205.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Apex Mission Impossible | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed Apex Mission Impossible | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 393 | 42.2%166 W · 227 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…cc8abacked Blue Otter | 65c | 196.28$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…e689backed Apex Mission Impossible | 52c | 186.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Blue Otter | 56c | 185.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…f83abacked Blue Otter | 52c | 155.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Apex Mission Impossible | 16c | 146$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb4…6884backed Blue Otter | 44c | 144.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Apex Mission Impossible | 45c | 144.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Blue Otter | 65c | 137.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 56c | 134.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Apex Mission Impossible | 39c | 133.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Blue Otter | 52c | 117.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Blue Otter | 63c | 109.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Blue Otter | 60c | 106.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Apex Mission Impossible | 60c | 100.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Blue Otter | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Otter | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 263 | 63.9%168 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Blue Otter | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 39.5%70 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Blue Otter | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Blue Otter | 60c | 95.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Blue Otter | 41c | 91.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Blue Otter | 46c | 73.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Apex Mission Impossible | 23c | 71.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Blue Otter | 40c | 66.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Blue Otter | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Blue Otter | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Blue Otter | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 208 | 36.1%75 W · 133 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Blue Otter | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Blue Otter | 65c | 60.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Apex Mission Impossible | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 401 | 56.9%228 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Blue Otter | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…5da6backed Blue Otter | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Apex Mission Impossible | 46c | 52.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…6961backed Blue Otter | 42c | 51.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 49c | 50.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 707 | 44.1%312 W · 395 L | -22.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…c85abacked Blue Otter | 47c | 49.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 120 | 67.5%81 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed Apex Mission Impossible | 64c | 45.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 197 | 38.6%76 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…0fa8backed Blue Otter | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Blue Otter | 36c | 41.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 237 | 42.2%100 W · 137 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Blue Otter | 59c | 41.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Apex Mission Impossible | 28c | 37.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Blue Otter | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Blue Otter | 75c | 34.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 44c | 33.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…ad57backed Blue Otter | 60c | 32.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Apex Mission Impossible | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +16.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Blue Otter | 44c | 32.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…0c09backed Apex Mission Impossible | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 272 | 50.7%138 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…bb16backed Apex Mission Impossible | 60c | 32.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Blue Otter | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Blue Otter | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Blue Otter | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked Blue Otter | 64c | 30.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…428abacked Apex Mission Impossible | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31c…34a1backed Blue Otter | 77c | 23.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…6194backed Blue Otter | 64c | 23.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BLUE (-1.5) vs Apex Mission Impossible (+1.5)Apex Mission Impossible won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonApex Mission Impossible won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter - Game 1 WinnerApex Mission Impossible won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.