Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLUE (-1.5) vs Apex Mission Impossible (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe070751ac1c2566fec7a63d6db1236315e3c9ac85e51546100e212da390f50f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Apex Mission Impossibleof Blue Otter, Apex Mission Impossible
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 39c | 6,435$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,918.89 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 38c | 3,535$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.91 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Blue Otter | 62c | 3,070$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.37 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Blue Otter | 59c | 3,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.97 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Blue Otter | 60c | 1,759$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.7 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 43c | 1,360$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.2 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Blue Otter | 60c | 1,139$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.2 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blue Otter | 56c | 1,080$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.18 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Apex Mission Impossible | 39c | 1,065$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.5 | 597 | 50.4%301 W · 296 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Blue Otter | 57c | 1,028$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.3 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Apex Mission Impossible | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Blue Otter | 62c | 980.6$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.97 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Blue Otter | 60c | 935.2$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.12 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Blue Otter | 62c | 764.29$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.81 | 785 | 49.9%392 W · 393 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Blue Otter | 60c | 724.15$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.87 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 55c | 723.11$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.59 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Apex Mission Impossible | 43c | 593.92$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.1 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Blue Otter | 61c | 537.13$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Apex Mission Impossible | 40c | 500$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 54c | 493.06$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Blue Otter | 61c | 456.91$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.32 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 42c | 386.08$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.93 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Apex Mission Impossible | 41c | 370.11$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.87 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Apex Mission Impossible | 41c | 358.83$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.71 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Apex Mission Impossible | 42c | 355.19$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Blue Otter | 60c | 341.6$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1979…c15cbacked Blue Otter | 64c | 292.54$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Blue Otter | 60c | 284.67$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Blue Otter | 60c | 278.16$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.9 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Blue Otter | 60c | 240.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Blue Otter | 60c | 236.09$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.66 | 318 | 38.1%121 W · 197 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Apex Mission Impossible | 47c | 217.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Blue Otter | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Blue Otter | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Blue Otter | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Blue Otter | 60c | 179.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Blue Otter | 60c | 170.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Blue Otter | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Blue Otter | 57c | 162.37$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 42c | 160.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Blue Otter | 60c | 145.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Blue Otter | 60c | 144.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Apex Mission Impossible | 42c | 142.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Apex Mission Impossible | 42c | 142.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Apex Mission Impossible | 42c | 142.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 41c | 129.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Blue Otter | 41c | 128$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 208 | 36.1%75 W · 133 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Apex Mission Impossible | 51c | 126.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 66c | 115.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 389 | 50.9%198 W · 191 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Blue Otter | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Blue Otter | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Blue Otter | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Blue Otter | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Apex Mission Impossible | 42c | 86.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Apex Mission Impossible | 42c | 80.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Apex Mission Impossible | 41c | 75.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Apex Mission Impossible | 42c | 71.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Apex Mission Impossible | 41c | 70.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Blue Otter | 41c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Blue Otter | 41c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Apex Mission Impossible | 41c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…c85abacked Apex Mission Impossible | 42c | 53.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 120 | 67.5%81 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Blue Otter | 41c | 43.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 177 | 39.5%70 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…15b2backed Blue Otter | 59c | 42.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Apex Mission Impossible | 42c | 40.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…8923backed Apex Mission Impossible | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Blue Otter | 60c | 38.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Blue Otter | 60c | 37.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 153 | 56.9%87 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…544bbacked Blue Otter | 60c | 37.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Blue Otter | 60c | 37.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Apex Mission Impossible | 41c | 36.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f9…50c2backed Apex Mission Impossible | 47c | 35.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 43c | 35.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Apex Mission Impossible | 48c | 35.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Blue Otter | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Apex Mission Impossible | 40c | 34.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Blue Otter | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Blue Otter | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Blue Otter | 62c | 29.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Blue Otter | 62c | 27.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Blue Otter | 40c | 26.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…3cf4backed Blue Otter | 60c | 19.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Blue Otter | 62c | 17.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLUE (-1.5) vs Apex Mission Impossible (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonApex Mission Impossible won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter - Game 1 WinnerApex Mission Impossible won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter - Game 2 WinnerApex Mission Impossible won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.