Lol · resolved market
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb58af8eeebb4b41ab371d8e935b8fcbfb7b849d42f9dc28618b78496b1373f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Apex Mission Impossibleof Apex Mission Impossible, Blue Otter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Blue Otter | 2c | 1,588$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…4ca9backed Blue Otter | 9c | 1,581$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…dfd3backed Apex Mission Impossible | 33c | 1,200$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Blue Otter | 34c | 741.32$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.82 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…37ddbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 73c | 620.75$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed Blue Otter | 76c | 576.92$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.98 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Apex Mission Impossible | 36c | 443.01$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.22 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Blue Otter | 71c | 393.1$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.02 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Blue Otter | 69c | 392.44$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.83 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 23c | 351.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Blue Otter | 77c | 346.19$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.57 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 70c | 330.96$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Apex Mission Impossible | 65c | 304.33$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 571 | 51.5%294 W · 277 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Blue Otter | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Blue Otter | 21c | 285.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Apex Mission Impossible | 35c | 259.71$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 22c | 257.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.57 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Blue Otter | 60c | 252.41$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 381 | 57.5%219 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Blue Otter | 78c | 229.92$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.34 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Blue Otter | 80c | 209.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.88 | 304 | 41.8%127 W · 177 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Blue Otter | 8c | 177.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Blue Otter | 55c | 172.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Blue Otter | 30c | 157.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Apex Mission Impossible | 40c | 144.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Blue Otter | 50c | 142.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Apex Mission Impossible | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Apex Mission Impossible | 40c | 137.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b48…73e2backed Blue Otter | 35c | 135.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Apex Mission Impossible | 66c | 127.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…7cebbacked Blue Otter | 30c | 127.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Blue Otter | 56c | 123.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Blue Otter | 18c | 107.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 696 | 44.4%309 W · 387 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Blue Otter | 31c | 73.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Apex Mission Impossible | 70c | 68.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Apex Mission Impossible | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Blue Otter | 76c | 59.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…0fa8backed Blue Otter | 69c | 49.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 56c | 49.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 33c | 47.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 122 | 70.5%86 W · 36 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…703ebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 67c | 47.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Blue Otter | 66c | 44.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…f925backed Blue Otter | 28c | 38.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…6961backed Apex Mission Impossible | 27c | 38.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Apex Mission Impossible | 67c | 38.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5386…930abacked Apex Mission Impossible | 31c | 37.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Blue Otter | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 41c | 36.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Apex Mission Impossible | 70c | 33.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Blue Otter | 35c | 33.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f5…b1c6backed Apex Mission Impossible | 80c | 17.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +7.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…e40ebacked Apex Mission Impossible | 67c | 17.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf31c…34a1backed Blue Otter | 78c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Blue Otter | 76c | 15.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Blue Otter | 74c | 14.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BLUE (-1.5) vs Apex Mission Impossible (+1.5)Apex Mission Impossible won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonApex Mission Impossible won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter - Game 2 WinnerApex Mission Impossible won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.