Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x791866ec1aa9e3a33b99cc8291a12cbd68eb4339b55f5a4fc9af9b34fd01e6b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 35c | 3,532$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.05 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Under | 65c | 1,380$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.96 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Under | 65c | 602.46$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.86 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Under | 65c | 463.07$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 65c | 364.37$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 34c | 274.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 56c | 268.67$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.28 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1979…c15cbacked Under | 66c | 246.9$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5d87backed Under | 66c | 215.21$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Under | 67c | 155.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 56c | 116.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 62c | 83.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 37c | 48.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 43c | 42.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Under | 65c | 34.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 59c | 30.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 44c | 24.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 66c | 23.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLUE (-1.5) vs Apex Mission Impossible (+1.5)Apex Mission Impossible won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonApex Mission Impossible won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter - Game 1 WinnerApex Mission Impossible won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Blue Otter - Game 2 WinnerApex Mission Impossible won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.