Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x758e4c1bf42eb16e001ede5816c2d7dd8e8048470492fdeaa4bd2b21b6f8c90d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof Team Liquid, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 80c | 5,808$4,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,633.89 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed L1ga Team | 20c | 5,483$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.72 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team | 52c | 5,099$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.51 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…57acbacked L1ga Team | 54c | 3,700$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 3,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Team Liquid | 2c | 3,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed L1ga Team | 74c | 2,653$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.97 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team | 28c | 2,572$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.93 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Team Liquid | 4c | 2,500$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Team Liquid | 3c | 2,400$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 66c | 2,019$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.69 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Team Liquid | 3c | 2,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 1,588$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 1,586$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.84 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Team Liquid | 2c | 1,550$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Team Liquid | 18c | 1,418$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.55 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed L1ga Team | 16c | 1,410$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.59 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 1,406$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.48 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed L1ga Team | 10c | 1,405$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.5 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked L1ga Team | 34c | 1,393$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.41 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Team Liquid | 2c | 1,320$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed L1ga Team | 17c | 1,297$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.58 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Team Liquid | 2c | 1,274$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 18cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Liquid | 5c | 1,188$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed L1ga Team | 20c | 1,148$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.01 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed L1ga Team | 16c | 889.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.88 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 866.55$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.49 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Team Liquid | 72c | 850.17$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.69 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked L1ga Team | 55c | 837.17$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.94 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed L1ga Team | 52c | 826.01$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.48 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked L1ga Team | 55c | 816.93$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.44 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Team Liquid | 5c | 799.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Team Liquid | 8c | 782.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Team Liquid | 2c | 775$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed L1ga Team | 22c | 748.48$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.68 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Liquid | 46c | 728.47$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.1 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed L1ga Team | 16c | 721.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.15 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…bf13backed Team Liquid | 23c | 671.6$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed L1ga Team | 17c | 671.21$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.78 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Team Liquid | 15c | 669.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 72c | 638.04$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.39 | 573 | 55.5%318 W · 255 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Team Liquid | 76c | 602.17$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.63 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Team Liquid | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed L1ga Team | 16c | 559.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.12 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked L1ga Team | 19c | 546.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.51 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked L1ga Team | 19c | 514.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.38 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed L1ga Team | 14c | 509.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.99 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 78c | 509.65$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.63 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Team Liquid | 7c | 480$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed L1ga Team | 34c | 474.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.39 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2e…0916backed Team Liquid | 71c | 473.51$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed L1ga Team | 21c | 455.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.58 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Liquid | 17c | 438.93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed L1ga Team | 15c | 432.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.61 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed L1ga Team | 20c | 422.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.34 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 422.09$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.71 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Team Liquid | 5c | 420$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Team Liquid | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Team Liquid | 5c | 399.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked L1ga Team | 19c | 386.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.14 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed L1ga Team | 21c | 375.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.01 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Team Liquid | 22c | 327$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…63c0backed Team Liquid | 43c | 304.03$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Team Liquid | 6c | 301$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Team Liquid | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team | 25c | 290.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.31 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed L1ga Team | 20c | 290.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.47 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b1aebacked Team Liquid | 14c | 286$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Team Liquid | 79c | 275.69$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 248.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.61 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Team Liquid | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Team Liquid | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Team Liquid | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Team Liquid | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed L1ga Team | 15c | 235.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.67 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed L1ga Team | 15c | 226.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.65 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked L1ga Team | 22c | 216.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.98 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Team Liquid | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Team Liquid | 67c | 196.07$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.86 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Liquid | 39c | 171.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Team Liquid | 14c | 169.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Team Liquid | 55c | 162.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…9531backed L1ga Team | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid | 49c | 159.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Team Liquid | 10c | 141.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Liquid | 28c | 135.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Team Liquid | 9c | 133.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked L1ga Team | 12c | 128.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…a5cfbacked L1ga Team | 78c | 125.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Team Liquid | 31c | 119$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked L1ga Team | 35c | 110.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 18c | 109.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed L1ga Team | 19c | 109.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Team Liquid | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…793ebacked Team Liquid | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed Team Liquid | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Liquid | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs L1ga Team (+1.5)L1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.