Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c2f82e3fc042dd154d3cd6efc99913c4e994704863157af2d7b990e88858de4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid | 79c | 4,353$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.24 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked L1ga Team | 22c | 4,157$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.15 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 4,053$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.21 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Team Liquid | 79c | 3,559$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.64 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 78c | 2,825$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.31 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 2,767$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.87 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 74c | 2,102$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.59 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed L1ga Team | 2c | 2,003$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed L1ga Team | 20c | 1,939$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.08 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…cbecbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 1,924$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…a76fbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 1,799$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…ddcdbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 1,776$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd580…a0d5backed Team Liquid | 78c | 1,610$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed L1ga Team | 20c | 1,500$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed L1ga Team | 15c | 1,486$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.9 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed L1ga Team | 21c | 1,467$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.46 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed L1ga Team | 25c | 1,425$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.31 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed L1ga Team | 24c | 1,291$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.79 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed L1ga Team | 13c | 1,011$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 22c | 979.9$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.17 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed L1ga Team | 23c | 894.59$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.73 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…0ad0backed L1ga Team | 23c | 856.75$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed L1ga Team | 23c | 841.45$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.72 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 799.99$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 22c | 734.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.51 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Liquid | 76c | 658.78$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.31 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked L1ga Team | 22c | 651.12$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.15 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed L1ga Team | 22c | 626.88$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 78c | 616.89$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid | 75c | 555$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 537.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Team Liquid | 76c | 518.98$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 476.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked L1ga Team | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 22c | 468.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 18c | 441.59$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Liquid | 77c | 439.71$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed L1ga Team | 19c | 427.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed L1ga Team | 24c | 394.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed L1ga Team | 22c | 390$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 384.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 77c | 373.62$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 20c | 319.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Liquid | 77c | 315.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team | 23c | 301.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked L1ga Team | 22c | 287.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -6.5wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed L1ga Team | 23c | 252.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 239.44$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed L1ga Team | 10c | 237.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked L1ga Team | 8c | 232.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 228.65$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 75c | 215.86$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed L1ga Team | 22c | 214.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…1a75backed L1ga Team | 22c | 209$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 16c | 197.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Liquid | 76c | 177$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Team Liquid | 78c | 164.4$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 148 | 68.9%102 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed L1ga Team | 20c | 152.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 134.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked L1ga Team | 22c | 134.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed L1ga Team | 13c | 125.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 23c | 124.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Team Liquid | 77c | 114.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ad…82cbbacked L1ga Team | 13c | 113.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +160%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed L1ga Team | 22c | 104.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked L1ga Team | 19c | 104.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Liquid | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 92.86$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed L1ga Team | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Team Liquid | 74c | 65.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed L1ga Team | 22c | 64.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team | 23c | 57.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed L1ga Team | 22c | 47.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed Team Liquid | 76c | 42.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Team Liquid | 77c | 38.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Liquid | 78c | 37.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 37.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b1…8b43backed Team Liquid | 80c | 37.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Liquid | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs L1ga Team (+1.5)L1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.