TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,543 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c12,278$5,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,155.86,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8505754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over60c3,555$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1333464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…3f31backed Under59c2,900$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2004344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under71c1,396$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.952,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bb…b369backed Over68c1,295$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Over58c1,034$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Under48c519.59$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.841861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Over68c514.71$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Under20c510.41$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.338646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Over80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007082.9%58 W · 12 L+14.5wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+37.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30540953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over66c455.88$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8818444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x615e…b526backed Under66c455.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.311241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under55c454.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.181,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5004…2d13backed Under65c448$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fdf…0726backed Over65c446.18$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.541963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over26c431.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.311,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe955…3b03backed Under52c423$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.041346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over53c406.4$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.19067.8%61 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over47c395.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1229343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over62c383.95$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0511324.8%28 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under5c351.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3354413.6%6 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+62.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005026%13 W · 37 L-8.5wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under44c329.82$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8213841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf085…5696backed Over51c312.57$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.132240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c305.75$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.111,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under38c298.1$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.292,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c279.91$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.181,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Over62c268.68$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.736553.8%35 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over62c263.16$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1619253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf385…364cbacked Under38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over62c221.13$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1377350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over50c200.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b9…6ae2backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under49c189.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3129041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Over58c160.34$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over44c159.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5420143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under38c149.51$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.622454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over70c114.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over62c104.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6516233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed Over51c103.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Over49c102.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a0…20dabacked Over54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556232.3%20 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5715740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587129.6%21 W · 50 L-12.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4614845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under26c98.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5343241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7f…9127backed Over62c96.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over53c94.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over24c91.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225729.8%17 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbfe…5247backed Over62c89.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.642030%6 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over63c88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4430143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under38c85.87$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2427748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over49c85.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4221143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over61c84.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8549544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over57c82.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c77.81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.134,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over59c71.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over64c70.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2537342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Over60c70$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422552%13 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4418449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under38c68.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2437054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under48c67.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4220931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x282a…2866backed Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Over63c63.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405337.7%20 W · 33 L-10.9wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-36.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409940.4%40 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36a…30cabacked Under39c62.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.214535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over54c62.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7113842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Over62c62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.442864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+39.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x112c…eeb4backed Over33c60.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over49c58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.423138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe030…2565backed Over63c55.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0a…3389backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over61c51.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3513656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over59c50.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x706c…0fd9backed Over60c47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked Over58c45.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.569139.6%36 W · 55 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under37c40.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40cc…f83abacked Under49c38.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed Under39c37.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.997972.2%57 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over57c35.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010361.2%63 W · 40 L+9.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x854f…5829backed Over58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d43…fc99backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154770.2%33 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under52c31.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0589152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaef7…5af1backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Under38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Over48c29.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0516634.9%58 W · 108 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over57c28.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.515866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b05…078abacked Over63c28.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c12…1f27backed Over64c26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over64c25.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1720150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.