Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b247b01e1bf9ae94805764e150e57414df8cc676744925f92aeb43f6d191e43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof Natus Vincere, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 15,944$9,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,044.62 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed L1ga Team | 57c | 6,590$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.56 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 6,138$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.91 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed L1ga Team | 61c | 4,401$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked L1ga Team | 49c | 4,040$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.3 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team | 41c | 3,418$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.95 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 3,377$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.11 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 3,333$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.98 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked L1ga Team | 45c | 3,173$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.19 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed L1ga Team | 61c | 3,017$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.01 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed L1ga Team | 29c | 2,437$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed L1ga Team | 43c | 2,308$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.26 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,000$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.99 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked L1ga Team | 39c | 1,546$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.57 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 32c | 1,439$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.33 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked L1ga Team | 41c | 1,400$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.49 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked L1ga Team | 53c | 1,258$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.24 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 51c | 1,173$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.12 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 53c | 1,161$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,064$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.75 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 986.8$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.7 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked L1ga Team | 28c | 956.62$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.64 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 730.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 691.85$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 648.42$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.8 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 643.31$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.13 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 643.22$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.85 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed L1ga Team | 24c | 551.03$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.52 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed L1ga Team | 25c | 500.7$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.62 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 424.02$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.91 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 410$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.58 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed L1ga Team | 23c | 406.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.58 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed L1ga Team | 25c | 320.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.52 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed L1ga Team | 44c | 317.65$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 30c | 309.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked L1ga Team | 53c | 292.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 271.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed L1ga Team | 25c | 267.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed L1ga Team | 68c | 245.2$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 240.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 222.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed L1ga Team | 52c | 217.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 217.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 216.07$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed L1ga Team | 60c | 205.57$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed L1ga Team | 25c | 198.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.89 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 196.82$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.19 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 193.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 44c | 167.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed L1ga Team | 64c | 165.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 158.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 143.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed L1ga Team | 34c | 141.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked L1ga Team | 49c | 139$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 129.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 111.11$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 100.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed L1ga Team | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed L1ga Team | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed L1ga Team | 57c | 94.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 94.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…1e8bbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 88.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team | 22c | 86.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c0…d718backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 82.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked L1ga Team | 80c | 78.14$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed L1ga Team | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team | 54c | 70.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…69fabacked L1ga Team | 55c | 68.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 67.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed L1ga Team | 71c | 66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 65.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 62.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 62.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 62.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…3411backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 59.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 58.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…bdd5backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 57.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 57.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked L1ga Team | 58c | 57.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed L1ga Team | 62c | 52.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…4046backed L1ga Team | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed L1ga Team | 61c | 43.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed L1ga Team | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked L1ga Team | 66c | 40.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed L1ga Team | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team | 45c | 36.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed L1ga Team | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…b61cbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 28.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed L1ga Team | 58c | 28.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0c28backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 27.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 26.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 24.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs L1ga Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs L1ga Team (+1.5)L1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.