Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs L1ga Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb892af35c9399e54c03152438c2e2270a1b4d95a38b3faf4d65714fc1d44b3f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 9,814$7,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.36 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 9,765$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.09 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked L1ga Team | 23c | 8,422$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.65 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team | 9c | 6,728$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.53 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 5,657$3,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.28 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 4,180$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.71 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed L1ga Team | 23c | 3,571$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.74 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed L1ga Team | 16c | 3,333$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 3,225$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.64 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed L1ga Team | 28c | 2,999$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.85 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 18c | 2,152$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.88 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 16c | 2,057$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.18 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked L1ga Team | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c97…fad7backed L1ga Team | 31c | 1,621$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 31c | 1,246$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.26 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team | 16c | 1,196$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.08 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed L1ga Team | 27c | 1,088$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.21 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 29c | 1,008$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.98 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 984.12$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.24 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 977.21$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked L1ga Team | 15c | 974.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.57 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked L1ga Team | 14c | 968.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed L1ga Team | 19c | 915.3$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.91 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked L1ga Team | 20c | 831.77$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed L1ga Team | 15c | 768.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 750$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed L1ga Team | 10c | 681.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 670.6$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.18 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked L1ga Team | 27c | 623.44$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.33 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed L1ga Team | 27c | 619.76$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.34 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 589.87$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked L1ga Team | 19c | 544.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 518.33$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…e5d6backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 498.64$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.59 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed L1ga Team | 20c | 485.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…68a4backed L1ga Team | 22c | 469.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 458.79$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed L1ga Team | 29c | 452.29$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.16 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…26f0backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 446.91$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 20c | 421.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed L1ga Team | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked L1ga Team | 22c | 375.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed L1ga Team | 27c | 356.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed L1ga Team | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 308.85$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 291.73$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…8c55backed L1ga Team | 27c | 281.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 266.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 239.41$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 238.8$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked L1ga Team | 27c | 235.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed L1ga Team | 5c | 231.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked L1ga Team | 19c | 227.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team | 28c | 225.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed L1ga Team | 19c | 220.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 208.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 208.04$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked L1ga Team | 22c | 200.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed L1ga Team | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed L1ga Team | 10c | 194.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked L1ga Team | 16c | 192.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked L1ga Team | 7c | 188.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 174.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 172.89$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 19c | 153.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked L1ga Team | 11c | 152.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 150.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed L1ga Team | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce9…e3e2backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 148.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked L1ga Team | 16c | 144.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 135.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 134.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed L1ga Team | 27c | 134.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 133.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 131.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…1f1abacked L1ga Team | 8c | 129.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…3096backed L1ga Team | 19c | 119$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 116.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 115.55$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 110.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 100.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3964…66b2backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked L1ga Team | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed L1ga Team | 21c | 98.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 98.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…2e76backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 92.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed L1ga Team | 27c | 88.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed L1ga Team | 34c | 84.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed L1ga Team | 18c | 79.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team | 25c | 78.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5d…ee56backed L1ga Team | 18c | 74.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed L1ga Team | 20c | 71.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac17…eccabacked L1ga Team | 27c | 69.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed L1ga Team | 26c | 66.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 62.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked L1ga Team | 19c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs L1ga Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs L1ga Team (+1.5)L1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.