Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29efc6e36b5b78f0408ea31805a90a9a35d1073074da57b312af4c9805791a89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 49c | 4,058$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 53c | 3,217$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed No | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 1,876$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.9 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,498$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.64 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 50c | 1,193$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 999.44$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.71 | 1,139 | 50.8%579 W · 560 L | +27.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 49c | 965.47$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.08 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes | 65c | 714.74$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…9141backed No | 53c | 489.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 45c | 481.51$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.15 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Yes | 45c | 360.73$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 55c | 350.37$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.78 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 11c | 334.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 731 | 33.8%247 W · 484 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 65c | 299.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 255$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 251.31$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 1,719 | 48.5%833 W · 886 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 231.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 933 | 48.2%450 W · 483 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…03fcbacked No | 10c | 223.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed No | 8c | 205$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 55c | 181.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed No | 55c | 144.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 36c | 111.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…95dcbacked Yes | 48c | 105.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 23c | 88.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed No | 53c | 79.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 78.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,471 | 37.8%556 W · 915 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 54c | 74.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 45c | 73.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 52c | 61.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 274 | 46.4%127 W · 147 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked No | 53c | 43.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 46c | 43.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 48c | 41.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 52c | 39.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 70c | 38.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 46c | 36.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 310 | 63.2%196 W · 114 L | +45.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…a40cbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked No | 35c | 28.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 67c | 28.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 648 | 50%324 W · 324 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 44c | 27.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1,111 | 47.9%532 W · 579 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…7347backed Yes | 65c | 24.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 77c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes | 78c | 14.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IK Sirius win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will AIK vs. IK Sirius end in a draw?No won
- Will AIK win on 2026-05-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.