TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89bf…a40c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-53.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.24
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+254.3%+$38.14
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$140.87
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Belgium vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Romania win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Degerfors IF vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+135%+$27
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)backed Hammarby IF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$10.3
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+261.6%+$117.7
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.