Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9fe25e71eed80a97878ca3ccfae3f404f7ff8d1073594204281ad47581c8beb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 4,015$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.92 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Under | 68c | 3,889$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 2,625$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.55 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 46c | 2,560$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.36 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 66c | 2,198$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.26 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Under | 67c | 1,502$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 66cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Under | 50c | 1,276$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.02 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 1,242$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.81 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 951.33$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.13 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 457.34$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Over | 45c | 376.18$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.28 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 298.44$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.71 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 54c | 296.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.59 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…2928backed Over | 47c | 266.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 51c | 214.32$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…8b79backed Under | 79c | 191.95$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 49c | 174$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 30c | 169.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 55c | 164$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…df80backed Under | 70c | 156.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Under | 53c | 109.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 69c | 95.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 49c | 79.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 59.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 28c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 37c | 55.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 30c | 49.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 59c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 46.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…e566backed Over | 49c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…e4a7backed Under | 65c | 36.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…a40cbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…517cbacked Under | 56c | 26.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 25.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 49c | 23.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 50c | 22.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 20.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…8473backed Under | 54c | 19.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 2.5this page
- Mexico vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.