Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb70366fed5c4a57761a1552ed08041731d27e7ca3820963c388a751438d21f24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Australiaof Mexico, Australia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mexico | 18c | 3,329$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.46 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Mexico | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Australia | 70c | 2,418$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.72 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mexico | 29c | 760.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.55 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Australia | 68c | 600.91$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.29 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed Mexico | 45c | 568.78$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Mexico | 50c | 392.76$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.65 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Mexico | 30c | 363.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Mexico | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Mexico | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Mexico | 45c | 284.78$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Mexico | 32c | 259.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Australia | 68c | 253.09$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Australia | 28c | 234.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.4 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Mexico | 34c | 225.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Australia | 67c | 202.41$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Australia | 72c | 192.52$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Mexico | 29c | 168.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Mexico | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Australia | 68c | 125.88$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Australia | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…51b9backed Mexico | 45c | 110.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…3ac8backed Mexico | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mexico | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Mexico | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Mexico | 26c | 96.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Mexico | 33c | 77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Australia | 70c | 74.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…f667backed Mexico | 34c | 59.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Mexico | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Australia | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Australia | 67c | 53.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mexico | 31c | 52.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377a…7dc7backed Australia | 70c | 50.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ad68backed Mexico | 34c | 48.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 171 | 54.4%93 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Mexico | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Mexico | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Australia | 66c | 35.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…7750backed Mexico | 56c | 34.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Australia | 60c | 28.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Mexico | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)this page
- Mexico vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.