Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe988c2abfd70833201bb305fbf6cd933abfd4420506b24ff7abc9778449289f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 40c | 5,238$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.1 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 4,439$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.55 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 32c | 2,900$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.95 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 1,904$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.91 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 1,604$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.41 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 48c | 837.01$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.76 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 65c | 494.98$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.02 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 52c | 426.28$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.26 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 68c | 299.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 61c | 274.87$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…e474backed No | 77c | 259.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 209.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…c002backed No | 62c | 190.35$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 23c | 174$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd92…4cf0backed No | 61c | 126.23$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 47c | 101.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 63c | 99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Yes | 27c | 93.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 50c | 90.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 86.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…37bfbacked Yes | 46c | 53.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…3d6fbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 62c | 48.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…3265backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 44c | 32.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4f8ebacked Yes | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…da4cbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ad68backed No | 61c | 25.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 171 | 54.4%93 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…6f82backed No | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed No | 64c | 18.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.