Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b37ffe3a5ed72526c66bd16ce61b6cfe933e57d09039b556aa0f63a8cfadb70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,768$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 3,020$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.47 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 30c | 1,329$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.28 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 49c | 1,293$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.39 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 1,109$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.16 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 40c | 928.3$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.47 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 36c | 906.35$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.06 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 40c | 837.22$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.33 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 33c | 764.05$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.94 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 59c | 759.07$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.85 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 62c | 692.52$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.08 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 57c | 640.35$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 30c | 604.9$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.53 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Under | 44c | 459.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 31c | 410.69$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.94 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Under | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29ca…8f14backed Over | 59c | 357.38$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…2928backed Over | 29c | 345.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 33c | 314.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 75c | 298.51$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.86 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fd…783cbacked Under | 65c | 280.29$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Over | 72c | 277.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 273.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.57 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 71c | 269.42$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 62c | 240.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 66c | 214.07$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.31 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 27c | 161.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.11 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 156.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 69c | 144.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Under | 18c | 140.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.77 | 238 | 57.6%137 W · 101 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed Under | 14c | 133.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 73c | 121.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 10c | 117.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…e5dabacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 62c | 84.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Over | 60c | 80.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 73c | 80.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 67c | 77.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 28c | 71.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…eeb9backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Under | 28c | 54.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 28c | 53.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfa…0093backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb534…06a6backed Over | 70c | 50.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Over | 46c | 49.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 66c | 45.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Under | 33c | 45.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…d972backed Over | 60c | 41.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 26c | 39.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 67c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 54c | 36.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Under | 33c | 32.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 66c | 31.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Over | 56c | 31.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 70c | 28.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 45c | 26.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 26.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Over | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 1.5this page
- Mexico vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.