Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e68ca73df1358e38e5ca7187ae7cd6ced8b3382e688697d57f0f2da8fd0ce3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4908…9ae8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 3c | 4,807$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 4,598$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.59 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 3,746$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.84 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 69c | 2,736$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.2 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e81…f02ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Yes | 31c | 2,459$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 2,130$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.92 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 69c | 2,030$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.56 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 7c | 1,769$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124c…7f95backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…7828backed Yes | 18c | 1,636$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 36cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,063$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 33c | 969.77$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…ea15backed Yes | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef55…4c97backed Yes | 32c | 943.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…32a5backed Yes | 30c | 754.3$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…6568backed Yes | 3c | 751.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…c52cbacked Yes | 8c | 737.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 68c | 708.46$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.47 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…81c8backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 68c | 557.03$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.38 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…d019backed Yes | 31c | 516.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3a…056fbacked Yes | 10c | 502$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 31c | 499.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…fb53backed Yes | 32c | 469.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 69c | 457.77$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 69c | 432.21$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d9…954fbacked Yes | 10c | 402.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 32c | 371.12$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.76 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…3680backed Yes | 31c | 370.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c3…87aabacked Yes | 31c | 368.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 356.82$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.86 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…e8e7backed Yes | 31c | 327.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…03b4backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…2b6abacked Yes | 30c | 316.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2d…d67cbacked Yes | 32c | 316.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Yes | 31c | 312.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Yes | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 31c | 300.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 68c | 299.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb731…4cb2backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 30c | 283.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe655…2d93backed Yes | 11c | 278.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 68c | 278.54$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 68c | 274.71$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…d76abacked Yes | 11c | 239.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…798abacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…0b50backed Yes | 31c | 221.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a85…2025backed Yes | 18c | 197.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 30c | 196.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…7469backed Yes | 31c | 191.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcf…b6e0backed Yes | 30c | 190.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dc…b433backed Yes | 31c | 189.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 175$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…2ce7backed Yes | 31c | 165$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0400…fc43backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 12c | 160.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 32c | 159.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Yes | 32c | 157.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed Yes | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Yes | 32c | 144.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c15…c2bfbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 71c | 127.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4492…8b9abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Yes | 33c | 104.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 69c | 101.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 97.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…c6c6backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 70c | 96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Yes | 31c | 95.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 86.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…627fbacked Yes | 34c | 84.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 70c | 83.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a7…21abbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 30c | 82.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -67%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8779…0f74backed Yes | 30c | 82.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…f366backed Yes | 30c | 81.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…1184backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 65c | 76.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…1499backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 71c | 70.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 209 | 16.7%35 W · 174 L | -36.8wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 15c | 68.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 69c | 67.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Yes | 31c | 67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ca…eb3bbacked Yes | 30c | 65.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +199.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa454…cb73backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…a40cbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…0e9fbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 33c | 59.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?this page
- Arsenal FC leading at halftime?Yes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.