TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,887
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,887 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa454…cb73backed Yes0c9,031$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9650%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c3,027$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.182,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4417…e69bbacked Yes1c2,761$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No58c1,905$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.6174935.4%265 W · 484 L-30.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc2e…f00ebacked Yes40c1,265$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaed3…4565backed Yes47c858.06$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed No67c808.14$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2711450.9%58 W · 56 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc9…32cebacked Yes25c807.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No55c701.7$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7734943.3%151 W · 198 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No75c649.99$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0625245.2%114 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4908…9ae8backed Yes3c588.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes46c524.63$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405731.6%18 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No55c500.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.152437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes46c497.33$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.991032.6%297 W · 613 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes45c457.78$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2061729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes44c453.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes25c413.89$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.471136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,07134.8%373 W · 698 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf042…bc4fbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes22c377.61$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.622128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73ad…fb53backed Yes47c321.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No54c299.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.995759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No77c250.2$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.749262%57 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d6b…5cd9backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+88.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4529…d10abacked Yes45c220.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcc…a8d3backed Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed No24c189.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+317.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No55c182.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2310849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes28c179.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a88…4e57backed No56c171.68$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes35c157.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No53c149.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed No56c134.07$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.991154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No56c133.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.439332.3%30 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes19c131.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.332657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503441.2%14 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes39c111.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5311443.9%50 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff1…fc37backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4412546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4311169.4%77 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b77…2d2bbacked Yes45c99.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No55c86.4$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.882951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3506…996cbacked Yes13c82.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No66c71.53$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4861437.5%230 W · 384 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3713…96c6backed Yes17c71.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe999…199bbacked Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d9…00c4backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf5…abc6backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e5…03fcbacked No56c61.86$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d3…940ebacked Yes34c59.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x010c…798abacked Yes26c57.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Yes45c57.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262222.7%5 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-58.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes45c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No55c52.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8567649.4%334 W · 342 L-15.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No55c50.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.316021.7%13 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.763339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd117…a188backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed No26c44.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+278.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x455d…6011backed No56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d14…28d5backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ee…6db6backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda17…9b48backed Yes45c44.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No55c43.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.778658.1%50 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf86…53b7backed Yes36c42.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-67%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No67c37.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.381369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e8…f693backed No56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1df…5721backed Yes45c35.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4b9…f97cbacked Yes46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae5…8386backed Yes45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Yes47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.59652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed No56c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-55.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes45c25.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5261148.3%295 W · 316 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda3e…ea79backed Yes45c25.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes46c24.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.164060%24 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc84e…523bbacked No56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.